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Sichuan Haite High-tech Co (002023) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 9.0B CNY

SH Sichuan Haite High-tech Co 002023 · SHE
Price¥10.70
Fair Value¥3.79
Upside-64.6%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -32.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.92 – ¥5.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥6.36 to ¥3.79 (−40.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −12.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥16.25 ¥6.02 Fair Value ¥3.79 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.02 – ¥16.25 · fair‑value band ¥2.92 – ¥5.02 · the ¥10.70 price screens above the ¥3.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Sichuan Haite High-tech Co (002023) currently trades at ¥10.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.79, implying the stock looks roughly 64.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Haite High-tech Co generated revenue of 1.6B CNY at a net margin of -32.8%. Revenue grew 17.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.3%. Net debt stands at 843M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.92 (bear case) to ¥5.02 (bull case); at ¥10.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -65%, 002023 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.26 ¥14.58 ¥25.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.76 ¥7.42 ¥11.03 74
ROIC Compounder ¥2.68 ¥3.05 ¥3.36 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.44 ¥15.51 ¥28.75 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.76 ¥7.42 ¥10.95 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.54 ¥11.27 ¥17.32 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.84 ¥8.86 ¥13.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.11 ¥11.69 ¥18.88 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥2.68 ¥3.05 ¥3.36 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥4.08 ¥5.31 ¥6.54 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.01 ¥7.88 ¥9.76 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.02 ¥4.15 ¥5.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.50 ¥3.35 ¥5.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.26 ¥14.58 ¥25.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.76 ¥7.42 ¥11.03 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥2.68 ¥3.05 ¥3.36 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.27) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.3%
Net margin -32.8%
Return on equity -13.3%
Free cash flow 458M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 13.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.7100
EPS growth (YoY) +35.4%
Net debt 843M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sichuan Haite High-tech Co.,Ltd provides aircraft airborne equipment maintenance services in China. It is also involved in aviation technology research and development, aviation product manufacturing, aviation training, aviation material maintenance, microelectronics, gas turbine engineering, and leasing activities.

Full company description

Sichuan Haite High-tech Co.,Ltd provides aircraft airborne equipment maintenance services in China. It is also involved in aviation technology research and development, aviation product manufacturing, aviation training, aviation material maintenance, microelectronics, gas turbine engineering, and leasing activities. Sichuan Haite High-tech Co.,Ltd was founded in 1991 is based in Chengdu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sichuan Haite High-tech Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥847M in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥535M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+18.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+13.3%
Revenue +16.5%/yr
FY21 ¥847M
FY22 ¥910M
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥1.3B
FY25 ¥1.6B
Net income
FY21 ¥737M
FY22 ¥12.9M
FY23 ¥46.8M
FY24 ¥70.9M
FY25 −¥535M

002023 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Haite High-tech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002023

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −65% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -33% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.83× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 87 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 38
HEALTH 94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sichuan Haite High-tech Co (002023) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.79 versus a price of ¥10.70, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002023?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Haite High-tech Co is ¥3.79 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.70.
What is the quality score of 002023?
Sichuan Haite High-tech Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Haite High-tech Co (002023)?
Sichuan Haite High-tech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002023?
The net profit margin of Sichuan Haite High-tech Co is about -32.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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