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Jiangsu Dagang Co (002077) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 9.7B CNY

JD Jiangsu Dagang Co 002077 · SHE
Price¥12.61
Fair Value¥2.51
Upside-80.1%
Quality71/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.77 – ¥3.05 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −34.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥23.02 ¥4.97 Fair Value ¥2.51 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.97 – ¥23.02 · fair‑value band ¥1.77 – ¥3.05 · the ¥12.61 price screens above the ¥2.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu Dagang Co (002077) currently trades at ¥12.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.51, implying the stock looks roughly 80.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Dagang Co generated revenue of 395M CNY at a net margin of 19.2%. Revenue grew 60.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. Net debt stands at 21.2M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.77 (bear case) to ¥3.05 (bull case); at ¥12.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -80%, 002077 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.64 ¥2.17 ¥3.05 80
Residual Income ¥3.94 ¥3.68 ¥2.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.49 ¥2.16 ¥2.99 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.58 ¥2.13 ¥3.12 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.49 ¥2.12 ¥3.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.10 ¥3.18 ¥4.62 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.47 ¥1.94 ¥2.45 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.87 ¥2.58 ¥3.35 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple ¥1.17 ¥1.56 ¥1.95 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.17 ¥1.56 ¥1.95 55
EV/EBITDA ¥2.84 ¥3.77 ¥4.69 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.55 ¥2.18 ¥2.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.88 ¥3.86 ¥5.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.64 ¥2.17 ¥3.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.49 ¥2.16 ¥2.99 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.94 ¥3.68 ¥2.75 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.86) versus Multiples (¥1.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 395M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +60.2%
Net margin 19.2%
Return on equity 2.3%
Free cash flow 94.4M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 128.9
More key figures
Operating margin 6.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1300
EPS growth (YoY) +133%
Net debt 21.2M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu Dagang Co., Ltd. provides integrated circuits and environmental resource services in China. It offers integrated circuit testing, test solutions, engineering verification, park operation, and environmental recycling services, as well as various liquid chemical products.

Full company description

Jiangsu Dagang Co., Ltd. provides integrated circuits and environmental resource services in China. It offers integrated circuit testing, test solutions, engineering verification, park operation, and environmental recycling services, as well as various liquid chemical products. It serves computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing industries. Jiangsu Dagang Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Zhenjiang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Dagang Co reported revenue of ¥355M in FY2025 versus ¥684M in FY2021, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥53.1M in FY2025, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
355M CNY
Latest YoY
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.2%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.9%
Revenue −15.1%/yr
FY21 ¥684M
FY22 ¥569M
FY23 ¥421M
FY24 ¥336M
FY25 ¥355M
Net income −21.0%/yr
FY21 ¥136M
FY22 ¥49.3M
FY23 ¥88.4M
FY24 ¥23.6M
FY25 ¥53.1M

002077 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Dagang Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002077

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 60% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 128.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 24.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 88.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 51
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 9 · sector 10
HEALTH 96 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Dagang Co (002077) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.51 versus a price of ¥12.61, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002077?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Dagang Co is ¥2.51 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.61.
What is the quality score of 002077?
Jiangsu Dagang Co has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Dagang Co (002077)?
Jiangsu Dagang Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 395M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002077?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu Dagang Co is about 19.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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