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Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd ¥4.85, price ¥8.31, upside -41.6%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100000049

MC Some data Sep 23, 2026

Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd

002123 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥4.85 · Strongly overvalued (−42%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥23.83 ¥5.56 Fair Value ¥4.85 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.56 – ¥23.83 · fair‑value band ¥3.31 – ¥7.17 · the ¥8.31 price screens above the ¥4.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the mobile communication business in China and internationally. It offers IM Cloud, an integrated communication platform that achieves instant message communication for enterprises by utilizing text, pictures, audio, and video based on internet and service provider networks.

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Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the mobile communication business in China and internationally. It offers IM Cloud, an integrated communication platform that achieves instant message communication for enterprises by utilizing text, pictures, audio, and video based on internet and service provider networks. Terminal Cloud gathers all-terminal manufacturers and provides an all-scenario ability to offer B2C services and a marketing portal based on the 5G network and mobile terminals, with B2C content subscription, business socializing, SMS enhancement, and fast application solutions. The company also provides MVaaS, which offers users real-time audio and video technologies and an online video distribution platform that empowers industries and enhances the innovation and productivity of traditional industries with innovative communication modes. Additionally, it offers IoT Cloud, an intelligent public cloud dedicated to IoT communication and a rich media IoT communication platform with things as terminals, helping enterprise systems, devices, and clients form stronger connection abilities and create an Internet of Everything. The company was formerly known as Montnets Rongxin Technology Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co., Ltd. in November 2020. Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Stock analysis

Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123) currently trades at ¥8.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.85, implying the stock looks roughly 71.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥4.75 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥8.31 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.5300, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥3.31 (bear) to ¥7.17 (bull), the price of ¥8.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −217M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.7B CNY (≈ $999M) · P/S ratio 2.51 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3300 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −8.3% · Return on equity −14.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.2% · Operating margin −4.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −42%, 002123 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.31 Fair Value ¥4.85 Bull ¥7.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥3.82 ¥6.11 ¥9.95 79
Growth DCF ¥3.79 ¥5.86 ¥9.18 77
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.09 ¥4.56 ¥6.48 73
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.82 ¥6.11 ¥9.95 79
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.09 ¥4.59 ¥6.59 72
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.26 ¥4.75 ¥6.98 66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3100 ¥0.6100 ¥0.9200 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3100 ¥0.5300 ¥0.6400 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥2.75 ¥3.55 ¥4.35 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9700 ¥1.30 ¥1.94 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.79 ¥5.86 ¥9.18 77
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.09 ¥4.56 ¥6.48 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−40.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.8% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.4% (2020) → −5.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.8% a year for the price.

002123 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 702 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −22% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.64× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.99× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)9 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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SAP SE SAP €182.32 €159.06 −13%
Shopify Inc SHOP $147.74 $64.36 −56%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $137.00 $150.70 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $302.95 $225.14 −26%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $336.59 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $247.48 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $269.64 $177.51 −34%

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Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥4.85 −71%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002123

Frequently asked questions

Is Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.85 versus a price of ¥8.31, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002123?
Our model-based fair value for Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is ¥4.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.31.
What is the quality score of 002123?
Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.31, optimistic scenario ¥7.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.85, about −42% upside versus a price of ¥8.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.31, optimistic scenario ¥7.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +20.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002123 use?
Our models discount Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.31, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd that is +20.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd grew -0.9 % a year. The price currently implies +20.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (+20.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.47 %: that much free cash flow Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd it is ¥4.85 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥8.31. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 002123 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥8.31, fair value ¥4.85, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002123?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.85). For Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd the two are ¥3.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd at about 6.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.31; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002123?
Our models span a range for Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.31, base ¥4.85, optimistic ¥7.17 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥8.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 002123?
The PEG ratio of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is 1.99 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
Balance-sheet figures for Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −14.4%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002123 from its 52-week high?
Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd trades at ¥8.31, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥14.29 and 16% above the low of ¥7.19 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥8.31, calculated fair value ¥4.85 (−42%), Quality Score 57/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002123 calculated?
We run Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥8.31. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.85, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥3.31 to ¥7.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
The market capitalisation of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is 6.7B CNY (≈ $999M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is 2.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
Earnings per share at Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd are ¥−0.3300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
The dividend yield of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
The net margin of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is −8.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is −14.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is −12.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
The operating margin of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
Revenue at Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is growing −22.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123)?
Earnings per share at Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd are growing +804% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd (002123) carry?
The net debt of Montnets Cloud Technology Group Co Ltd is 75.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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