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Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd ¥0.92, price ¥5.42, upside -83.0%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE1000006Y7

JA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd

002172 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥0.9200 · Strongly overvalued (−83%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −7.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥7.10 ¥2.31 Fair Value ¥0.9200 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.31 – ¥7.10 · fair‑value band ¥0.6900 – ¥1.15 · the ¥5.42 price screens above the ¥0.9200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangsu Aoyang Health Industry Co.ltd. engages in the production and sale of viscose chemical fibers in China and internationally.

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Jiangsu Aoyang Health Industry Co.ltd. engages in the production and sale of viscose chemical fibers in China and internationally. It engages in investment and development in the health industry; manufacture and sale of viscose fiber and viscose fiber products, degradable fibers, and functional fibers; sale of textile raw materials, textiles, and chemical products; steam heat supply; power production; and self-operated and agency of the import and export of commodities and technologies. The company also offers health management and wellness and pharmaceutical logistics services, as well as distributes pharmaceutical products. In addition, it is involved in the wholesale of pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and other products; processing, purchasing, selling, and cultivating of Chinese medicinal materials; rehabilitation medical services; medical aesthetics; pharmaceutical retail; research and experimental development; and provision of maternal and child health consultation services, as well as scientific research and technical services. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Corporation Limited. and changed its name to Jiangsu Aoyang Health Industry Co.ltd. in September 2018. Jiangsu Aoyang Health Industry Co.ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Zhangjiagang, China.

Stock analysis

Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172) currently trades at ¥5.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9200, implying the stock looks roughly 489.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥1.74 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥5.42 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.1500, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.6900 (bear) to ¥1.15 (bull), the price of ¥5.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.

Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was 41.3M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.2B CNY (≈ $619M) · P/E ratio 135.5 · P/S ratio 3.10 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0400 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 2.3% · Return on equity 19.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −83%, 002172 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.1500 to ¥2.75). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥0.6900 Fair Value ¥0.9200 Bull ¥1.15
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0294 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥1.44 ¥1.74 ¥2.25 78
EPV ¥1.39 ¥1.51 ¥1.62 74
ROIC Compounder ¥1.39 ¥1.51 ¥1.62 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥1.44 ¥1.74 ¥2.25 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3700 ¥0.4500 ¥0.5000 67
EPV ¥1.39 ¥1.51 ¥1.62 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2900 ¥0.3100 ¥0.3500 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2900 ¥0.3400 ¥0.4200 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.6900 ¥0.9200 ¥1.15 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.6900 ¥0.9200 ¥1.15 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.5200 ¥0.6900 ¥0.8600 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.01 ¥2.53 ¥3.05 66
EV/EBITDA ¥2.17 ¥2.75 ¥3.32 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.80 ¥2.38 ¥2.96 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.1100 ¥0.1500 ¥0.2300 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥0.2900 ¥0.3600 ¥0.8700 69
ROIC Compounder ¥1.39 ¥1.51 ¥1.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.4900 ¥0.7000 ¥0.9100 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−24% → 6%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.9%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

002172 screens 489% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 352 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.38× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 135.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.64× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)76 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)81 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)24 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Dow Inc DOW $28.65 $21.03 −27%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥34.61 ¥19.88 −43%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.13 ¥2.90 −78%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥73.50 ¥80.85 +10%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥43.68 ¥16.17 −63%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.54 ¥43.28 +162%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 252,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +133%

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¥0.9200 −489%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002172

Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.9200 versus a price of ¥5.42, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002172?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is ¥0.9200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.42.
What is the quality score of 002172?
Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.9200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.6900, optimistic scenario ¥1.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.9200, about −83% upside versus a price of ¥5.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.6900, optimistic scenario ¥1.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd it is ¥0.9200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥5.42. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002172 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.42, fair value ¥0.9200, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002172?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.9200). For Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd the two are ¥4.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd at about 4.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.42; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.9200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002172?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.6900, base ¥0.9200, optimistic ¥1.15 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥5.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002172?
Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 135.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.9200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.6, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 2.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 19.0%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002172 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd trades at ¥5.42, about 7% below its 52-week high of ¥5.81 and 92% above the low of ¥2.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.9200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥5.42, calculated fair value ¥0.9200 (−83%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002172 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.9200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥5.42. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.9200, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is 4.2B CNY (≈ $619M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is 3.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd are ¥0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 135.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is 1.2% (payout 163%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is 2.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is −3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is growing −10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd are growing −50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is −20.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd (002172) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Aoyang Technology Ltd is 332M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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