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YCIC Eco-Technology Co (002200) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY

YE YCIC Eco-Technology Co 002200 · SHE
Price¥6.83
Fair Value¥4.56
Upside-33.2%
Quality41/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.84 – ¥4.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +7.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.69 ¥4.00 Fair Value ¥4.56 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.00 – ¥10.69 · fair‑value band ¥3.84 – ¥4.56 · the ¥6.83 price screens above the ¥4.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

YCIC Eco-Technology Co (002200) currently trades at ¥6.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.56, implying the stock looks roughly 33.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, YCIC Eco-Technology Co generated revenue of 574M CNY at a net margin of -1.6%. Revenue grew 79.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. Net debt stands at 923M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.84 (bear case) to ¥4.56 (bull case); at ¥6.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -33%, 002200 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.22 ¥6.47 ¥8.11 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.99 ¥4.81 ¥5.72 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.0900 ¥0.1600 ¥0.2500 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.14 ¥6.50 ¥8.38 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.99 ¥4.76 ¥5.69 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.37 ¥5.13 ¥6.04 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0900 ¥0.1600 ¥0.2500 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0900 ¥0.1400 ¥0.1800 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥3.39 ¥4.00 ¥4.62 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.43 ¥1.91 ¥2.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.22 ¥6.47 ¥8.11 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.99 ¥4.81 ¥5.72 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.13) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 574M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +79.8%
Net margin -1.6%
Return on equity -2.4%
Free cash flow 140M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 5.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0800
EPS growth (YoY) +133%
Net debt 923M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

YCIC Eco-Technology Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in ecological landscape, ecological and environmental protection, and flower and eco-friendly businesses in China. The company offers landscaping, cultural tourism, water pollution treatment, and engineering construction services.

Full company description

YCIC Eco-Technology Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in ecological landscape, ecological and environmental protection, and flower and eco-friendly businesses in China. The company offers landscaping, cultural tourism, water pollution treatment, and engineering construction services. In addition, it provides environmental consulting services comprising environmental planning, environmental investigation and assessment, project planning, engineering feasibility studies, and engineering design for solid waste and water pollution; soil remediation, heavy metal treatment, and waste disposal services; and sewage treatment and watershed management services, as well as agricultural products, such as flowers. The company was formerly known as Yunnan Yuntou Ecology and Environment Technology Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to YCIC Eco-Technology Co.,Ltd. in July 2022. YCIC Eco-Technology Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Kunming, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

YCIC Eco-Technology Co reported revenue of ¥513M in FY2025 versus ¥392M in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥24.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
513M CNY
Latest YoY
−15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 ¥392M
FY22 ¥584M
FY23 ¥603M
FY24 ¥604M
FY25 ¥513M
Net income
FY21 −¥73.5M
FY22 ¥11.0M
FY23 ¥9.1M
FY24 −¥87.7M
FY25 −¥24.9M

002200 screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "YCIC Eco-Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002200

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 80% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.36× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.81× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is YCIC Eco-Technology Co (002200) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.56 versus a price of ¥6.83, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002200?
Our model-based fair value for YCIC Eco-Technology Co is ¥4.56 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.83.
What is the quality score of 002200?
YCIC Eco-Technology Co has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of YCIC Eco-Technology Co (002200)?
YCIC Eco-Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 574M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002200?
The net profit margin of YCIC Eco-Technology Co is about -1.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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