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Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co (002226) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 13.3B CNY

AJ Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co 002226 · SHE
Price¥5.07
Fair Value¥4.86
Upside-4.1%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.80% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.65 – ¥6.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +10.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥3.65 (bear) to ¥6.08 (bull), base ¥4.86. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.16 ¥3.59 Fair Value ¥4.86 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.59 – ¥7.16 · fair‑value band ¥3.65 – ¥6.08 · the ¥5.07 price screens above the ¥4.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co (002226) currently trades at ¥5.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.86, implying the stock looks roughly 4.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co generated revenue of 10.0B CNY at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at 4.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.65 (bear case) to ¥6.08 (bull case); at ¥5.07, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -4%, 002226 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.63 ¥6.26 ¥13.34 80
Residual Income ¥3.01 ¥3.23 ¥3.61 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.87 ¥7.24 ¥13.89 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.84 ¥5.50 ¥13.40 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.62 ¥12.19 ¥28.08 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.87 ¥6.56 ¥13.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.52 ¥10.07 ¥20.41 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.44 ¥6.50 ¥11.77 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.69 ¥7.43 ¥12.56 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.03 ¥10.64 ¥23.18 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.56 ¥6.60 ¥13.65 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.94 ¥13.56 ¥19.03 54
Lynch FV ¥4.24 ¥6.06 ¥7.87 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.24 ¥6.06 ¥7.87 46
EPV ¥3.31 ¥4.08 ¥4.75 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.16 ¥2.41 ¥3.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.16 ¥2.03 ¥2.53 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.65 ¥4.86 ¥6.08 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.65 ¥4.86 ¥6.08 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.65 ¥4.86 ¥6.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.88 ¥6.94 ¥9.00 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.23 ¥7.41 ¥9.59 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.64 ¥4.34 ¥6.03 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.81 ¥2.42 ¥3.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.63 ¥6.26 ¥13.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.87 ¥7.24 ¥13.89 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.01 ¥3.23 ¥3.61 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.31 ¥4.76 ¥6.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.25 ¥7.49 ¥9.74 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥7.49) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 10.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 8.9%
Free cash flow 681M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 17.9
More key figures
Operating margin 8.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2800
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -14.1%
Net debt 4.0B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells civil explosives in China and internationally.

Full company description

Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells civil explosives in China and internationally. The company offers gel-like emulsion explosives, powdered emulsion explosives, expanded explosives, seismic source charges, detonating charges, industrial detonating cords, electronic detonators, ignition charges for airbags, and gas-generating charges for airbags. It also provides blasting engineering design, assessment, supervision, testing, drilling, blasting, excavation, and transportation services; and tunnel engineering, water conservancy and hydropower engineering, building demolition engineering, road and bridge infrastructure engineering, mine repair/management engineering, mining and aggregate processing, and other engineering construction services. In addition, the company engages in the development, construction, and operation wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation projects, wind farms and photovoltaic power stations; and focuses on mining, processing, and mining of sand and gravel aggregates. The company was founded in 1985 and is based in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co reported revenue of ¥10.0B in FY2025 versus ¥6.5B in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥758M in FY2025, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+27.5%
Revenue +11.4%/yr
FY21 ¥6.5B
FY22 ¥7.8B
FY23 ¥8.9B
FY24 ¥9.5B
FY25 ¥10.0B
Net income −7.9%/yr
FY21 ¥1.1B
FY22 ¥479M
FY23 ¥773M
FY24 ¥891M
FY25 ¥758M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002226

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.59× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.39× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.33× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 28 · sector 0
FUTURE 13 · sector 19
PAST 36 · sector 23
HEALTH 71 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 36 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co (002226) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.86 versus a price of ¥5.07, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002226?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co is ¥4.86 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.07.
What is the quality score of 002226?
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co (002226)?
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002226?
The net profit margin of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co pay a dividend?
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.80% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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