Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd ¥5.62, price ¥5.45, upside +3.1%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.59 – ¥7.16 · fair‑value band ¥2.83 – ¥9.74 · the ¥5.45 price screens below the ¥5.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells civil explosives in China and internationally.
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Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells civil explosives in China and internationally. The company offers gel-like emulsion explosives, powdered emulsion explosives, expanded explosives, seismic source charges, detonating charges, industrial detonating cords, electronic detonators, ignition charges for airbags, and gas-generating charges for airbags. It also provides blasting engineering design, assessment, supervision, testing, drilling, blasting, excavation, and transportation services; and tunnel engineering, water conservancy and hydropower engineering, building demolition engineering, road and bridge infrastructure engineering, mine repair/management engineering, mining and aggregate processing, and other engineering construction services. In addition, the company engages in the development, construction, and operation wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation projects, wind farms and photovoltaic power stations; and focuses on mining, processing, and mining of sand and gravel aggregates. The company was founded in 1985 and is based in Hefei, China.
Stock analysis
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226) currently trades at ¥5.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.62, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥7.49 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥5.45 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.61, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.83 (bear) to ¥9.74 (bull), the price of ¥5.45 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd reported revenue of 10.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was 758M CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 14.4B CNY (≈ $2.2B) · P/E ratio 19.5 · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2800 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 3%, 002226 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.83Fair Value ¥5.62Bull ¥9.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1404 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs 18%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 16%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.9% a year for the price.
Compare Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 714 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.59× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002226
Frequently asked questions
Is Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.62 versus a price of ¥5.45, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002226?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is ¥5.62 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.45.
What is the quality score of 002226?
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.62 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.83, optimistic scenario ¥9.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.62, about +3% upside versus a price of ¥5.45 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥2.83, optimistic scenario ¥9.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.61% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +16.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002226 use?
Our models discount Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd that is +16.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd grew +20.6 % a year. The price currently implies +16.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (+16.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.72 %: that much free cash flow Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd it is ¥5.62 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥5.45. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002226 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥5.45, fair value ¥5.62, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002226?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.62). For Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd the two are ¥0.1700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd worth?
The market values Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd at about 14.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.45; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002226?
Our models span a range for Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.83, base ¥5.62, optimistic ¥9.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥5.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002226?
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
Balance-sheet figures for Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.9%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002226 from its 52-week high?
Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd trades at ¥5.45, about 24% below its 52-week high of ¥7.14 and 23% above the low of ¥4.43 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥5.45, calculated fair value ¥5.62 (+3%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002226 calculated?
We run Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥5.45. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.62, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥2.83 to ¥9.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226) come from?
Earnings per share at Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd grew +7.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.0 %, EBIT margin −2.1 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
The market capitalisation of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 14.4B CNY (≈ $2.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 1.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd are ¥0.2800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
The dividend yield of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 1.6% (payout 31.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
The net margin of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
The operating margin of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
Revenue at Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is growing +2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd are growing −14.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd (002226) carry?
The net debt of Anhui Jiangnan Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 4.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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