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Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd (002290) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 20.5B CNY (≈ $3.0B) · ISIN CNE100000FR8

What is Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd really worth?

SH Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd 002290 · SHE
Price¥61.86
Fair Value¥10.58
Upside−82.9%
Quality65/100

A solid business, but trading 485% above our fair value of ¥10.58.

As of Aug 21, 2026, the fair value of Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd is ¥10.58 per share against a price of ¥61.86, so the fair value sits 83% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.9 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.2% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range ¥7.93 – ¥13.22

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +13.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥103.61 ¥5.67 Fair Value ¥10.58 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.67 – ¥103.61 · fair‑value band ¥7.93 – ¥13.22 · the ¥61.86 price screens above the ¥10.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd (002290) currently trades at ¥61.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.58, implying the stock looks roughly 484.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥12.48 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥61.86 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.61, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue declined 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.1%. Net debt stands at 242M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.93 (bear case) to ¥13.22 (bull case); at ¥61.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −83%, 002290 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.4230 per share, which is 3.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.2400 to ¥15.84). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥9.14 ¥13.56 ¥20.47 80
Growth DCF ¥9.23 ¥13.08 ¥18.70 79
Owner Earnings ¥10.57 ¥15.84 ¥24.10 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥9.14 ¥13.56 ¥20.47 80
Owner Earnings ¥10.57 ¥15.84 ¥24.10 76
5Y Revenue Exit ¥8.42 ¥12.48 ¥17.69 73
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.99 ¥11.66 ¥15.95 75
5Y P/E Exit ¥9.25 ¥14.05 ¥19.16 71
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.41 ¥12.20 ¥17.40 67
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.33 ¥11.63 ¥16.05 69
10Y P/E Exit ¥9.14 ¥13.31 ¥18.54 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.48 ¥15.19 ¥20.37 64
Lynch FV ¥3.48 ¥4.97 ¥6.46 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.48 ¥4.97 ¥6.46 57
EPV ¥7.54 ¥8.49 ¥9.33 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1400 ¥0.2900 ¥0.4600 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1400 ¥0.2400 ¥0.3000 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.40 ¥11.19 ¥13.99 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.40 ¥11.19 ¥13.99 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.40 ¥11.19 ¥13.99 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.31 ¥11.82 ¥14.33 66
EV/EBITDA ¥8.05 ¥10.14 ¥12.23 67
EV/Revenue ¥8.31 ¥11.11 ¥13.90 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.95 ¥2.61 ¥3.90 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥9.23 ¥13.08 ¥18.70 79
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.42 ¥12.47 ¥17.25 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.38 ¥6.08 ¥24.54 64
ROIC Compounder ¥7.98 ¥9.59 ¥11.42 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.36 ¥10.51 ¥13.66 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥12.48) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 99.8
P/S ratio 6.39 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6200 price ÷ EPS = P/E 99.8
Dividend yield 0.0% payout 1.8%
Net margin 6.4% FY2025
Return on equity 16.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 10.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 2.5B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −9.5% 3y avg +6.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −19.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 157M CNY FY2025
Net debt 242M CNY FY2025 · ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of composite materials for home appliances in China and internationally. It operates through Home Appliance Composite Materials; Investment and Commercial Factoring; and Artificial Intelligence and System Integration segments.

Full company description

Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of composite materials for home appliances in China and internationally. It operates through Home Appliance Composite Materials; Investment and Commercial Factoring; and Artificial Intelligence and System Integration segments. The company offers PCM/VCM composite materials for use in refrigerators, washing machines, and air conditioners. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Suzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was 163M CNY in FY2025, compounding +18.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +18.7% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in CNY
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+18.7%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 18.7% vs 10Y 17.6%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4.3% (2020) → 7.0% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop1,624% (2019) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in CNY
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 100% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY21 2.3B CNY
FY22 2.1B CNY
FY23 2.3B CNY
FY24 2.5B CNY
FY25 2.5B CNY
Net income +18.8%/yr
FY21 82.0M CNY
FY22 65.9M CNY
FY23 82.8M CNY
FY24 97.9M CNY
FY25 163M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +16.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.5 %

of which total revenue +10.4 % · buybacks/dilution −1.7 %

EBIT margin +8.3 %
Tax rate +0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

002290 screens 485% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002290.SHE

Peer Group

Chemicals · 340 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth −10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 99.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 21.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 95.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 22
PAST64 · sector 20
HEALTH96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

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Dow Inc DOW $30.51 $21.03 −31%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥41.32 ¥21.62 −48%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.76 ¥2.39 −83%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥78.04 ¥20.99 −73%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,855 IDR 1,584 IDR −15%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥52.53 ¥16.17 −69%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥18.87 ¥17.09 −9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd (002290) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.58 versus a price of ¥61.86, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002290?
Our model-based fair value for Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd is ¥10.58 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥61.86.
What is the quality score of 002290?
Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd (002290)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥10.58 (as of Aug 21, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.93, optimistic scenario ¥13.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥10.58, about −83% upside versus a price of ¥61.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.93, optimistic scenario ¥13.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd (002290)?
Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002290?
The net profit margin of Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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