Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group (002357) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +1.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥4.89 to ¥9.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.95 – ¥16.17 · fair‑value band ¥4.89 – ¥9.06 · the ¥9.06 price screens above the ¥7.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group (002357) currently trades at ¥9.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.01, implying the stock looks roughly 22.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group generated revenue of 812M CNY at a net margin of 21.0%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at 202M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.89 (bear case) to ¥9.06 (bull case); at ¥9.06, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -23%, 002357 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥9.61) versus Economic Profit (¥1.70). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd. engages in the road passenger transport business in China. The company provides passenger, charter, car rental, repair and maintenance, and ticket inquiry, as well as customized services.
Full company description
Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd. engages in the road passenger transport business in China. The company provides passenger, charter, car rental, repair and maintenance, and ticket inquiry, as well as customized services. It also offers city taxi, passenger station, scheduled passenger transport, and group tour and tourist vehicle; vehicle inspection, insurance agent, and customized passenger transport; and trade and logistics, and intelligent vehicle management services. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group reported revenue of ¥816M in FY2025 versus ¥697M in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥171M in FY2025, compounding +25.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −1.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002357 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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