Shanxi Tond Chemical Co (002360) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 2.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥4.49 to ¥2.92 (−35.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥2.14 to ¥4.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.04 – ¥10.35 · fair‑value band ¥2.14 – ¥4.82 · the ¥5.46 price screens above the ¥2.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Shanxi Tond Chemical Co (002360) currently trades at ¥5.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.92, implying the stock looks roughly 46.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 447M CNY. Revenue declined 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -78.5%. Net debt stands at 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.14 (bear case) to ¥4.82 (bull case); at ¥5.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -47%, 002360 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.80) versus Multiples (¥0.4400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 002360 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanxi Tond Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of civil explosives in China. The company offers on-site mixed blasting, porous granular ammonium nitrate, rock emulsion explosive, permitted emulsion explosives, powdered emulsion explosive, and rock powder emulsion explosive.
Full company description
Shanxi Tond Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of civil explosives in China. The company offers on-site mixed blasting, porous granular ammonium nitrate, rock emulsion explosive, permitted emulsion explosives, powdered emulsion explosive, and rock powder emulsion explosive. It also provides new material products, such as 1,4-butanediol and polybutylene adipate/terephthalate; and project construction services. In addition, the company offers engineering blasting services, as well as transportation, warehouse, and supply chain services; and engages in power business. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Xinzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanxi Tond Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥472M in FY2025 versus ¥853M in FY2021, a compound −13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.1B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +3.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002360 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
Compare Shanxi Tond Chemical Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanxi Tond Chemical Co (002360) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002360?
What is the quality score of 002360?
What is the revenue of Shanxi Tond Chemical Co (002360)?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Shanxi Tond Chemical Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.