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Navinfo Co Ltd (002405) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Navinfo Co Ltd ¥0.89, price ¥6.14, upside -85.5%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100000P69

NC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Navinfo Co Ltd

002405 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥0.8900 · Strongly overvalued (−86%)
!Quality 52/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 3 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥17.99 ¥5.64 Fair Value ¥0.8900 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.64 – ¥17.99 · fair‑value band ¥0.6200 – ¥1.15 · the ¥6.14 price screens above the ¥0.8900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

SeeWay.ai Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides full-stack automotive intelligence solutions in China.

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SeeWay.ai Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides full-stack automotive intelligence solutions in China. It offers software-hardware integrated solutions for multiple levels and complex driving scenarios; intelligent cockpit software product, such as smart assistant, LBS, driving safety, audio and video entertainment, smartphone-vehicle connectivity, and ecological service; Intelligent cockpit hardware terminal product, including IVI, intelligent navigation, AVM panorama, cloud recorder, stream media, and in-vehicle HUD series; and user system, user mall and entertainment value-added services. The company also provides intelligent cockpit for commercial vehicles comprising intelligent connected devices, connected vehicle service platform, map service for commercial vehicle, and APP operation services; intelligent charging, smart mobility, and operation marketing services; and navigation for shared autonomy, data compliance and closed-loop, dynamic traffic, and high-precision positioning services. In addition, it offers e-cockpit, IVI, telematics, and DA and high-end LCD instrument SoC products; MCU products consisting of AC7840x, AC781x, AC7801x, and AC7802x; multi-scenario digital twin solutions; and MineData for data processing, LBS, and rendering engine developed in-house, open APIs, and SDKs for further development. The company was formerly known as NavInfo Co., Ltd. and change its name to SeeWay.ai Co., Ltd. in December 2025. SeeWay.ai Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Navinfo Co Ltd (002405) currently trades at ¥6.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8900, implying the stock looks roughly 589.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥2.67 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the ¥6.14 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.0900, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.6200 (bear) to ¥1.15 (bull), the price of ¥6.14 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Navinfo Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 104M CNY in FY2025, compounding −4.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 17.4B CNY (≈ $2.6B) · P/E ratio 122.8 · P/S ratio 3.08 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0500 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −86%, 002405 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0900 to ¥2.67). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥0.6200 Fair Value ¥0.8900 Bull ¥1.15
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0366 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.54 ¥2.33 ¥1.69 76
Owner Earnings ¥1.78 ¥2.67 ¥4.18 75
Gordon GGM ¥0.0500 ¥0.1000 ¥0.1500 67
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥1.78 ¥2.67 ¥4.18 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3000 ¥1.46 ¥2.01 64
Lynch FV ¥0.3900 ¥0.5600 ¥0.7300 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.3900 ¥0.5600 ¥0.7300 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0500 ¥0.1000 ¥0.1500 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0500 ¥0.0900 ¥0.1100 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.7200 ¥0.9600 ¥1.20 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.5600 ¥0.7400 ¥0.9300 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.5600 ¥0.7400 ¥0.9300 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.89 ¥2.53 ¥3.78 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.54 ¥2.33 ¥1.69 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.6200 ¥0.8900 ¥1.15 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.3%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.6% a year
Revenue growth 19 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18% vs −6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−16% → −29%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

002405 screens 590% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 713 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 122.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.13× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.55× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)67 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)2 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €182.32 €159.06 −13%
Shopify Inc SHOP $147.74 $64.36 −56%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $137.00 $150.70 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $302.95 $225.14 −26%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $336.59 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $247.48 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $269.64 $177.51 −34%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Navinfo Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002405

Frequently asked questions

Is Navinfo Co Ltd (002405) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8900 versus a price of ¥6.14, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002405?
Our model-based fair value for Navinfo Co Ltd is ¥0.8900 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.14.
What is the quality score of 002405?
Navinfo Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.8900 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.6200, optimistic scenario ¥1.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Navinfo Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.8900, about −86% upside versus a price of ¥6.14 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.6200, optimistic scenario ¥1.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
Navinfo Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Navinfo Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Navinfo Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Navinfo Co Ltd it is ¥0.8900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥6.14. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Navinfo Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002405 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.14, fair value ¥0.8900, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002405?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.8900). For Navinfo Co Ltd the two are ¥5.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Navinfo Co Ltd worth?
The market values Navinfo Co Ltd at about 17.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.14; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.8900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002405?
Our models span a range for Navinfo Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.6200, base ¥0.8900, optimistic ¥1.15 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥6.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002405?
Navinfo Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 122.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.8900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.6, P/B 2.0, P/S 4.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 002405?
The PEG ratio of Navinfo Co Ltd is 2.55 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
Balance-sheet figures for Navinfo Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002405 from its 52-week high?
Navinfo Co Ltd trades at ¥6.14, about 45% below its 52-week high of ¥11.24 and 4% above the low of ¥5.93 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.8900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Navinfo Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Navinfo Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥6.14, calculated fair value ¥0.8900 (−86%), Quality Score 52/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002405 calculated?
We run Navinfo Co Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.8900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Navinfo Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥6.14. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.8900, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Navinfo Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥0.6200 to ¥1.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Navinfo Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
The market capitalisation of Navinfo Co Ltd is 17.4B CNY (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Navinfo Co Ltd is 3.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
Earnings per share at Navinfo Co Ltd are ¥0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 122.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
The dividend yield of Navinfo Co Ltd is 0.1% (payout 9.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
The net margin of Navinfo Co Ltd is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Navinfo Co Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Navinfo Co Ltd is −7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
The operating margin of Navinfo Co Ltd is −5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
Revenue at Navinfo Co Ltd is growing +13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Navinfo Co Ltd (002405)?
Earnings per share at Navinfo Co Ltd are growing +24.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Navinfo Co Ltd (002405) generate?
The free cash flow of Navinfo Co Ltd is −513M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Navinfo Co Ltd (002405) hold?
Navinfo Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.9B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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