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Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co (002426) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 14.1B CNY

SV Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co 002426 · SHE
Price¥2.91
Fair Value¥0.3200
Upside-89.0%
Quality44/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -21.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.1900 – ¥0.4800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥0.1700 to ¥0.3200 (+88.2%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price −13.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.4800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.1900 to ¥0.4800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥4.61 ¥1.42 Fair Value ¥0.3200 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.42 – ¥4.61 · fair‑value band ¥0.1900 – ¥0.4800 · the ¥2.91 price screens above the ¥0.3200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co (002426) currently trades at ¥2.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.3200, implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co generated revenue of 3.5B CNY at a net margin of -21.6%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -37.5%. Net debt stands at 1.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.1900 (bear case) to ¥0.4800 (bull case); at ¥2.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -89%, 002426 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.1200 ¥0.1400 ¥0.1800 80
Gordon GGM ¥0.2600 ¥0.2900 ¥0.3400 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2600 ¥0.3400 ¥0.4400 61
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.1100 ¥0.1400 ¥0.1800 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.1100 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.4200 ¥0.6600 ¥1.00 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.1100 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1500 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.3000 ¥0.4700 ¥0.6700 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2600 ¥0.2900 ¥0.3400 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2600 ¥0.3400 ¥0.4400 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.7000 ¥0.9100 ¥1.13 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.1100 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1600 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.2500 ¥0.3400 ¥0.5000 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.1200 ¥0.1400 ¥0.1800 80

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥0.3400) versus Multiples (¥0.1300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.2%
Net margin -21.6%
Return on equity -37.5%
Free cash flow 21.7M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -1.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2300
EPS growth (YoY) -89.3%
Net debt 1.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of precision mechanical modules, consumer electronics products, and automotive parts in China. The company's products are used in TV stands, TV front bezels and back covers, and notebooks.

Full company description

Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of precision mechanical modules, consumer electronics products, and automotive parts in China. The company's products are used in TV stands, TV front bezels and back covers, and notebooks. It provides consumer electronic products and auto parts, which includes optical glass and composite material display cover plates, and magnesium alloy structural parts. The company serves a range of TV brands and manufacturers, as well as auto brand manufacturers and their core suppliers. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Suzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co reported revenue of ¥3.5B in FY2025 versus ¥5.0B in FY2021, a compound −8.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥711M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.0%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Revenue −8.2%/yr
FY21 ¥5.0B
FY22 ¥4.1B
FY23 ¥3.5B
FY24 ¥3.3B
FY25 ¥3.5B
Net income
FY21 ¥38.8M
FY22 −¥249M
FY23 −¥928M
FY24 −¥738M
FY25 −¥711M

002426 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002426

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 251 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -22% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.22× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 95.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 28.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 34
PAST 0 · sector 18
HEALTH 97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co (002426) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.3200 versus a price of ¥2.91, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002426?
Our model-based fair value for Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co is ¥0.3200 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.91.
What is the quality score of 002426?
Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co (002426)?
Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002426?
The net profit margin of Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co is about -21.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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