Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd (002552) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
A solid business, but trading 773% above our fair value of ¥5.44.
As of Sep 10, 2026, the fair value of Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd is ¥5.44 per share against a price of ¥47.52, so the fair value sits 89% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.42% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 8 out of 100
Evidence: LowRange ¥3.79 to ¥6.80
Fair value as of: Sep 10, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.2% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.00 – ¥76.68 · fair‑value band ¥3.79 – ¥6.80 · the ¥47.52 price screens above the ¥5.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 10, 2026.
Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd (002552) currently trades at ¥47.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.44, implying the stock looks roughly 773.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥13.79 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥47.52 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.59, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd generated revenue of 3.4B CNY at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 42.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at 1.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 10, 2026
Scenario range: ¥3.79 (bear) to ¥6.80 (bull), the price of ¥47.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 264% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −89%, 002552 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1664 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥2.59 to ¥25.73). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio108.0
P/S ratio4.27P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)¥0.4400price ÷ EPS = P/E 108.0
Dividend yield0.4%payout 45.5%
Net margin4.0%FY2025
Return on equity7.8%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)1.2%avg 5y
Operating margin12.5%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)3.4B CNYTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+42.0%3y avg +20.6%
EPS growth (YoY)+325%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow115M CNYFY2025
Net debt1.8B CNYFY2025 · ≈ 15.9 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality57/100
Of which business quality 54
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Profitability31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility1
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance89
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Baoding Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the non-ferrous metal mining and selection, and the design, research, development, production, and sales of electronic copper foil and copper clad laminate products in China.
Full company description
Baoding Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the non-ferrous metal mining and selection, and the design, research, development, production, and sales of electronic copper foil and copper clad laminate products in China. It offers gold mining and selection; castings and forgings; scrap metal recycling; and computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing services. Its products are used in ships, power, engineering machinery and marine engineering. The company was formerly known as Baoding Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Baoding Technology Co., Ltd. in February 2016. Baoding Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 353M CNY in FY2021, a compound +72.7%/yr. Reported net income was 124M CNY in FY2025, compounding +110.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+20.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+19.6%
Dividend yield0.4%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 19.6% vs 10Y 26.3%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2.8% (2020) → 7.2% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop4,600% (2017) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in CNY
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002552
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 249 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−88% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth42% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)108.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B18.37× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)8.02× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF35.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA52.5× · Priciest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+44.8 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+7.7 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+3.2 %
FCF yield on price0.60 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models12.4 %
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE100· sector 35
PAST31· sector 21
HEALTH92· sector 95
DIVIDEND8· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 10, 2026).
Is Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd (002552) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.44 versus a price of ¥47.52, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002552?
Our model-based fair value for Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd is ¥5.44 (as of Sep 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥47.52.
What is the quality score of 002552?
Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd (002552)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.44 (as of Sep 10, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.79, optimistic scenario ¥6.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.44, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥47.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.79, optimistic scenario ¥6.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd (002552)?
Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002552?
The net profit margin of Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd is about 5.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.42% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 10, 2026).
What growth is priced into Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd (002552)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +44.8 % per year for ten years (discount rate 12.4 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.7 % per year. As of Sep 10, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002552 use?
Our models discount Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.77, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd (002552)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd it is ¥5.44 per share (as of Sep 10, 2026), against a price of ¥47.52. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 10, 2026, 002552 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥47.52, fair value ¥5.44, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002552?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥47.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.44). For Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd the two are ¥42.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd worth?
The market values Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd at about 27.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥47.52; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002552?
Our models span a range for Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.79, base ¥5.44, optimistic ¥6.80 per share (as of Sep 10, 2026, price ¥47.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002552?
Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 108.0 (as of Sep 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.44 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 18.4, P/S 8.0, EV/EBITDA 52.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd (002552)?
Balance-sheet figures for Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd (as of Sep 10, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002552 from its 52-week high?
Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd trades at ¥47.52, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥70.93 and 264% above the low of ¥13.04 (as of Sep 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 10, 2026: price ¥47.52, calculated fair value ¥5.44 (−89%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002552 calculated?
We run Baoding Heavy Industry Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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