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Hytera Communications Corporation (002583) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 16.6B CNY

HC Hytera Communications Corporation 002583 · SHE
Price¥8.33
Fair Value¥3.93
Upside-52.8%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -5.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.87 – ¥5.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥28.20 ¥3.37 Fair Value ¥3.93 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.37 – ¥28.20 · fair‑value band ¥2.87 – ¥5.00 · the ¥8.33 price screens above the ¥3.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hytera Communications Corporation (002583) currently trades at ¥8.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.93, implying the stock looks roughly 52.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hytera Communications Corporation generated revenue of 6.0B CNY at a net margin of -5.3%. Revenue declined 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.0%. Net debt stands at 590M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.87 (bear case) to ¥5.00 (bull case); at ¥8.33, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -53%, 002583 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥2.58 ¥3.13 ¥3.79 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.2900 ¥0.6100 ¥0.9600 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2900 ¥0.5100 ¥0.6400 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥2.41 ¥2.71 ¥2.98 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2900 ¥0.6100 ¥0.9600 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2900 ¥0.5100 ¥0.6400 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥3.78 ¥4.85 ¥5.91 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.22 ¥6.77 ¥8.31 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.74 ¥3.67 ¥4.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.5700 ¥0.7700 ¥1.15 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥2.58 ¥3.13 ¥3.79 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.85) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.5100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.1%
Net margin -5.3%
Return on equity -13.0%
Free cash flow −341M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 3.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1700
EPS growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net debt 590M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hytera Communications Corporation Limited provides communications technologies and solutions under the Hytera brand name in China and internationally.

Full company description

Hytera Communications Corporation Limited provides communications technologies and solutions under the Hytera brand name in China and internationally. It offers two-way radio solutions, including DMR two-way radios, DMR repeaters & systems, tetra radios, tetra systems, intrinsically safe radios, S-series business radios, and analog two-way radios; MCS & POC radio solutions comprising POC radios, MCS devices, dual-mode rugged radios, and multimedia communication platforms; body camera solutions that include body cameras, docking stations, and digital evidence management (Dem); fast deployment solutions; and control room products, such as integrated command & control solutions, and unified communication & dispatch. The company also provides 4G/5G broadband, including a network management systems, core networks, macro base stations, and integrated base stations; satellite communications comprising satellite terminals, components, and network solutions; antenna & rf conditioning that consist of antennas, and rf signal conditioning and filters; communication vehicles that include small, medium, and large-sized vehicles, and other refitted vehicles; and accessories, such as batteries, chargers, audio, car-kit, carrying cases, cables, radio antennas, and others. It serves education, hospitality, electric power, emergency response communication, facilities management, hospitals, healthcare, security, sports, and transportation sectors. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hytera Communications Corporation reported revenue of ¥6.0B in FY2025 versus ¥5.7B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥258M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.0B CNY
Latest YoY
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+14.5%
Revenue +1.2%/yr
FY21 ¥5.7B
FY22 ¥5.7B
FY23 ¥5.7B
FY24 ¥6.1B
FY25 ¥6.0B
Net income
FY21 −¥662M
FY22 ¥407M
FY23 −¥388M
FY24 −¥3.5B
FY25 −¥258M

002583 screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hytera Communications Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002583

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 290 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −53% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hytera Communications Corporation (002583) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.93 versus a price of ¥8.33, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002583?
Our model-based fair value for Hytera Communications Corporation is ¥3.93 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.33.
What is the quality score of 002583?
Hytera Communications Corporation has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hytera Communications Corporation (002583)?
Hytera Communications Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002583?
The net profit margin of Hytera Communications Corporation is about -5.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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