Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.28 – ¥66.83 · fair‑value band ¥12.90 – ¥61.52 · the ¥39.55 price screens above the ¥30.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive radial tire molds in China, Asia, Europe, and North and South America.
Show more
Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive radial tire molds in China, Asia, Europe, and North and South America. The company offers molds for PCR, LTR, TBR, OTR, AGR, MC, BC, and solid/industrial tires, as well as bladder molds, flat molds, and mold threads; large mechanical parts, including wind power and engineering machinery, gear box, injection molding machine, compressors, rail transportation, and other related parts; and rubber machinery, such as hydraulic curing press for giant OTR tires, curing press for TBR tires, and mold cleaning machine. It also provides design, casting, fabrication, machining, coating, assembly, and after-sales services. In addition, the company is involved in mold repair and production; general equipment manufacturing; and investment and trade businesses. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Gaomi, China.
Stock analysis
Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595) currently trades at ¥39.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥30.24, implying the stock looks roughly 30.8% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥55.67 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥39.55 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥4.32, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥12.90 (bear) to ¥61.52 (bull), the price of ¥39.55 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 11.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 53.1B CNY (≈ $7.9B) · P/E ratio 19.2 · P/S ratio 4.15 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.06 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 21.6% · Return on equity 20.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −24%, 002595 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥12.90Fair Value ¥30.24Bull ¥61.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.9981 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 10%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 24%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+67.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+14.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Compare Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 833 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−29% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002595
Frequently asked questions
Is Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥30.24 versus a price of ¥39.55, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002595?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is ¥30.24 (as of Sep 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥39.55.
What is the quality score of 002595?
Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥30.24 (as of Sep 19, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥12.90, optimistic scenario ¥61.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥30.24, about −24% upside versus a price of ¥39.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥12.90, optimistic scenario ¥61.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 19, 2026).
Does Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 19, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +67.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.9 % per year. As of Sep 19, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002595 use?
Our models discount Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd that is +67.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd grew +15.9 % a year. The price currently implies +67.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (+67.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.26 %: that much free cash flow Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd it is ¥30.24 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026), against a price of ¥39.55. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 19, 2026, 002595 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥39.55, fair value ¥30.24, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002595?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥39.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥30.24). For Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥9.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd at about 53.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 19, 2026). Per share that is ¥39.55; our models calculate a fair value of ¥30.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002595?
Our models span a range for Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥12.90, base ¥30.24, optimistic ¥61.52 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026, price ¥39.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002595?
Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.2 (as of Sep 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥30.24 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 4.6, EV/EBITDA 17.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 19, 2026): return on equity 20.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002595 from its 52-week high?
Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥39.55, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥68.82 and 6% above the low of ¥37.36 (as of Sep 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥30.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 19, 2026: price ¥39.55, calculated fair value ¥30.24 (−24%), Quality Score 45/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002595 calculated?
We run Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥30.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ¥39.55. Our model-based fair value is ¥30.24, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥12.90 to ¥61.52). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595) come from?
Earnings per share at Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd grew +14.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +17.6 %, EBIT margin −3.1 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
The market capitalisation of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is 53.1B CNY (≈ $7.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is 4.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd are ¥2.06 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
The dividend yield of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is 1.7% (payout 33.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
The net margin of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is 21.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is 20.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is 17.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
The operating margin of Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is 23.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
Revenue at Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd is growing +17.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd are growing −0.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd (002595) hold?
Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
