Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) Co (002595) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 53.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +12.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥19.98 to ¥61.51). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.28 – ¥66.83 · fair‑value band ¥19.98 – ¥61.51 · the ¥52.79 price screens above the ¥30.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) Co (002595) currently trades at ¥52.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥30.24, implying the stock looks roughly 42.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) Co generated revenue of 11.5B CNY at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue grew 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥19.98 (bear case) to ¥61.51 (bull case); at ¥52.79, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -43%, 002595 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥54.52) versus Growth DCF (¥4.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive radial tire molds in China, Asia, Europe, and North and South America.
Full company description
Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive radial tire molds in China, Asia, Europe, and North and South America. The company offers molds for PCR, LTR, TBR, OTR, AGR, MC, BC, and solid/industrial tires, as well as bladder molds, flat molds, and mold threads; large mechanical parts, including wind power and engineering machinery, gear box, injection molding machine, compressors, rail transportation, and other related parts; and rubber machinery, such as hydraulic curing press for giant OTR tires, curing press for TBR tires, and mold cleaning machine. It also provides design, casting, fabrication, machining, coating, assembly, and after-sales services. In addition, the company is involved in mold repair and production; general equipment manufacturing; and investment and trade businesses. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Gaomi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) Co reported revenue of ¥11.1B in FY2025 versus ¥6.0B in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.4B in FY2025, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2021.
002595 screens 43% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €967.60 | €212.97 | -78% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €284.30 | €122.46 | -57% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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