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Era Co Ltd (002641) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Era Co Ltd ¥1.48, price ¥3.84, upside -61.5%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE1000019M5

EC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Era Co Ltd

002641 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥1.48 · Strongly overvalued (−61%)
!Quality 54/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.52% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 5 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥6.86 ¥3.58 Fair Value ¥1.48 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.58 – ¥6.86 · fair‑value band ¥0.9800 – ¥1.86 · the ¥3.84 price screens above the ¥1.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Era Co., Ltd. engages in plastic pipe and solar energy businesses in China.

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Era Co., Ltd. engages in plastic pipe and solar energy businesses in China. The company offers polyvinyl chloride, polyethylene, and random copolymerized polypropylene, as well as various pipe fittings and valves, which are used in municipal pipeline network, industrial pipeline network, construction engineering, fire protection, power communication, whole house decoration, agricultural breeding, and gas pipeline network. It is also involved in the research and development, production, and sale of solar photovoltaic modules, and energy-saving and environmental protection products. In addition, it offers solar photovoltaic components, photovoltaic power generation systems, and photovoltaic building integration; and energy-saving and environmental protection products, such as solar lamps, low-voltage lamps, new energy storage, and other application products used in photovoltaic power generation, garden beautification, smart home, road traffic, outdoor camping, mobile energy storage, and others applications. It sells its energy products to photovoltaic power plant system integrators, traders, supermarkets, e-commerce, and end customers. The company was formerly known as Yonggao Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Era Co., Ltd. Era Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.

Stock analysis

Era Co Ltd (002641) currently trades at ¥3.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.48, implying the stock looks roughly 159.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.98 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥3.84 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.3000, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.9800 (bear) to ¥1.86 (bull), the price of ¥3.84 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Era Co Ltd reported revenue of 6.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.7%/yr. Reported net income was 62.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −42.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 5.1B CNY (≈ $765M) · P/E ratio 76.8 · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0500 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −61%, 002641 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.9800 Fair Value ¥1.48 Bull ¥1.86
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0219 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥1.32 ¥1.60 ¥1.98 82
Growth DCF ¥1.32 ¥1.57 ¥1.88 80
Owner Earnings ¥2.19 ¥2.84 ¥3.70 78
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.32 ¥1.60 ¥1.98 82
Owner Earnings ¥2.19 ¥2.84 ¥3.70 78
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.11 ¥1.31 ¥1.56 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.17 ¥3.27 ¥4.55 75
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.25 ¥1.57 ¥1.90 72
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.18 ¥1.37 ¥1.61 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.80 ¥2.60 ¥3.67 68
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.27 ¥1.53 ¥1.84 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3500 ¥1.02 ¥1.34 65
Lynch FV ¥0.2100 ¥0.3000 ¥0.3900 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.2100 ¥0.3000 ¥0.3900 57
EPV ¥0.8200 ¥0.8500 ¥0.8700 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.4000 ¥0.7200 ¥1.00 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.4000 ¥0.6100 ¥0.7700 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.6500 ¥0.8600 ¥1.08 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.6500 ¥0.8600 ¥1.08 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.6500 ¥0.8600 ¥1.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.05 ¥1.19 ¥1.32 66
EV/EBITDA ¥3.04 ¥3.84 ¥4.64 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.9900 ¥1.15 ¥1.30 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.22 ¥2.98 ¥4.45 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.32 ¥1.57 ¥1.88 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.11 ¥1.32 ¥1.56 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.89 ¥2.69 ¥1.82 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.8200 ¥0.8500 ¥0.8700 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.5400 ¥0.7700 ¥1.00 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−36% vs −12%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.3% a year for the price.

002641 screens 159% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 253 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 76.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.5× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)92 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $437.82 $214.52 −51%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $146.44 $39.57 −73%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $55.26 $19.18 −65%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €71.22 €93.50 +31%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 548.40 CHF 297.73 −46%
Lennox International Inc LII $371.68 $301.61 −19%
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $25.05 $27.56 +10%
Kingspan Group KRX €99.40 €68.89 −31%
Masco Corporation MAS $69.96 $55.79 −20%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $328.55 $340.70 +4%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Era Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002641

Frequently asked questions

Is Era Co Ltd (002641) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.48 versus a price of ¥3.84, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002641?
Our model-based fair value for Era Co Ltd is ¥1.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.84.
What is the quality score of 002641?
Era Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Era Co Ltd (002641)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.9800, optimistic scenario ¥1.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Era Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.48, about −61% upside versus a price of ¥3.84 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.9800, optimistic scenario ¥1.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
Era Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Era Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Era Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Era Co Ltd (002641)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Era Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +26.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002641 use?
Our models discount Era Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Era Co Ltd that is +26.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Era Co Ltd (002641) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Era Co Ltd grew -2.6 % a year. The price currently implies +26.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Era Co Ltd (002641) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Era Co Ltd (+26.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.87 %: that much free cash flow Era Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Era Co Ltd it is ¥1.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥3.84. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Era Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002641 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.84, fair value ¥1.48, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002641?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.48). For Era Co Ltd the two are ¥2.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Era Co Ltd worth?
The market values Era Co Ltd at about 5.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.84; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002641?
Our models span a range for Era Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.9800, base ¥1.48, optimistic ¥1.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥3.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002641?
Era Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 76.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 12.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
Balance-sheet figures for Era Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002641 from its 52-week high?
Era Co Ltd trades at ¥3.84, about 19% below its 52-week high of ¥4.72 and 3% above the low of ¥3.72 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Era Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Era Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥3.84, calculated fair value ¥1.48 (−61%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002641 calculated?
We run Era Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Era Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥3.84. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.48, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Era Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥0.9800 to ¥1.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Era Co Ltd (002641) come from?
Earnings per share at Era Co Ltd grew −2.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.1 %, EBIT margin −9.9 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Era Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
The market capitalisation of Era Co Ltd is 5.1B CNY (≈ $765M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Era Co Ltd is 0.78 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
Earnings per share at Era Co Ltd are ¥0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 76.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
The dividend yield of Era Co Ltd is 0.5% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
The net margin of Era Co Ltd is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Era Co Ltd is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Era Co Ltd is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Era Co Ltd (002641)?
The operating margin of Era Co Ltd is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Era Co Ltd (002641)?
Revenue at Era Co Ltd is growing +18.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Era Co Ltd (002641) hold?
Era Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 918M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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