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Guangdong Delian Group (002666) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.5B CNY

GD Guangdong Delian Group 002666 · SHE
Price¥4.11
Fair Value¥3.49
Upside-15.1%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.34 – ¥4.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥2.15 to ¥3.49 (+62.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (¥1.34 to ¥4.21). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.84 ¥3.28 Fair Value ¥3.49 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.28 – ¥7.84 · fair‑value band ¥1.34 – ¥4.21 · the ¥4.11 price screens above the ¥3.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Delian Group (002666) currently trades at ¥4.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.49, implying the stock looks roughly 15.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Delian Group generated revenue of 5.7B CNY at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at 81.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.34 (bear case) to ¥4.21 (bull case); at ¥4.11, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -15%, 002666 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.96 ¥2.74 ¥4.02 80
Residual Income ¥3.04 ¥2.87 ¥2.11 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.30 ¥3.47 ¥5.02 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.97 ¥2.85 ¥4.35 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.30 ¥3.52 ¥5.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.67 ¥4.30 ¥6.39 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.71 ¥2.28 ¥2.94 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.12 ¥3.23 ¥5.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.42 ¥3.80 ¥5.99 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.79 ¥2.34 ¥3.12 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3900 ¥1.93 ¥2.67 54
Lynch FV ¥0.5200 ¥0.7400 ¥0.9700 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5200 ¥0.7400 ¥0.9700 46
EPV ¥2.29 ¥2.51 ¥2.70 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.9800 ¥1.94 ¥2.94 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9800 ¥1.68 ¥2.05 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.7400 ¥0.9800 ¥1.23 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.7400 ¥0.9800 ¥1.23 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.7400 ¥0.9800 ¥1.23 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.72 ¥3.32 ¥3.93 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.19 ¥3.95 ¥4.71 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.47 ¥3.15 ¥3.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.22 ¥2.98 ¥4.44 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.96 ¥2.74 ¥4.02 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.30 ¥3.47 ¥5.02 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.04 ¥2.87 ¥2.11 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.29 ¥2.51 ¥2.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.7200 ¥1.03 ¥1.34 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.23) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.6%
Net margin 0.8%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow 67.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 63.0
More key figures
Operating margin -1.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) -26.5%
Net debt 81.7M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Delian Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the automobile fine chemicals, automobile sales service, and automobile repair and maintenance businesses, and development of new application scenarios in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally.

Full company description

Guangdong Delian Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the automobile fine chemicals, automobile sales service, and automobile repair and maintenance businesses, and development of new application scenarios in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers coolants, brake fluids, power steering oils, engine lubricants, automatic transmission oils, fuel additives, glass cleaning fluids, and other automotive fine chemical products. Guangdong Delian Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Delian Group reported revenue of ¥5.7B in FY2025 versus ¥5.2B in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥45.6M in FY2025, compounding −34.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+14.7%
Revenue +2.3%/yr
FY21 ¥5.2B
FY22 ¥4.9B
FY23 ¥5.7B
FY24 ¥5.0B
FY25 ¥5.7B
Net income −34.6%/yr
FY21 ¥249M
FY22 ¥41.4M
FY23 ¥44.1M
FY24 ¥68.8M
FY25 ¥45.6M

002666 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Delian Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002666

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 63.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 0
FUTURE 88 · sector 19
PAST 4 · sector 23
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Delian Group (002666) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.49 versus a price of ¥4.11, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002666?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Delian Group is ¥3.49 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.11.
What is the quality score of 002666?
Guangdong Delian Group has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Delian Group (002666)?
Guangdong Delian Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002666?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Delian Group is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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