Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd ¥2.87, price ¥13.30, upside -78.4%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ¥2.87 · Strongly overvalued (−78%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth(revenue 5y +7.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers(5/13)
!Narrow moat19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.63 – ¥28.44 · fair‑value band ¥1.62 – ¥4.13 · the ¥13.30 price screens above the ¥2.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts (Holding) Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive engine intake and exhaust valves in China and internationally.
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Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts (Holding) Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive engine intake and exhaust valves in China and internationally. It offers passenger car gasoline engine, marine diesel engine, engine set diesel engine, high-end sports car and racing car engine, engineering diesel engine, and motorcycle valves. The company also engages in mining, beneficiation, and sale of gold. It also exports its products to the United States, Italy, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Argentina, Mexico. Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts (Holding) Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1971 and is based in Huaiji, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715) currently trades at ¥13.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.87, implying the stock looks roughly 363.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥2.25 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥13.30 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.9400, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.62 (bear) to ¥4.13 (bull), the price of ¥13.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 524M CNY in FY2025 versus 485M CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −15.7M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.0B CNY (≈ $301M) · P/S ratio 3.75 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0700 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −3.0% · Return on equity −2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin 9.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −78%, 002715 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.62Fair Value ¥2.87Bull ¥4.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.5% (2020) → 3.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 662 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.65× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.56× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF77.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA8.4× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)50· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)15· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002715
Frequently asked questions
Is Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.87 versus a price of ¥13.30, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002715?
Our model-based fair value for Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is ¥2.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.30.
What is the quality score of 002715?
Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.62, optimistic scenario ¥4.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.87, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥13.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.62, optimistic scenario ¥4.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 536M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002715 use?
Our models discount Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd grew +7.1 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.21 %: that much free cash flow Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd it is ¥2.87 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.30. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002715 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.30, fair value ¥2.87, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002715?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.87). For Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd the two are ¥10.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd at about 2.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.30; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002715?
Our models span a range for Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.62, base ¥2.87, optimistic ¥4.13 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
Balance-sheet figures for Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.0%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002715 from its 52-week high?
Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd trades at ¥13.30, about 56% below its 52-week high of ¥30.34 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.30, calculated fair value ¥2.87 (−78%), Quality Score 44/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002715 calculated?
We run Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥13.30. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.87, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.62 to ¥4.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715) come from?
Earnings per share at Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd grew −7.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.2 %, EBIT margin −6.7 %, tax rate −1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
The market capitalisation of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is 2.0B CNY (≈ $301M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is 3.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
Earnings per share at Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd are ¥−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
The dividend yield of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
The net margin of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is −3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
The operating margin of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
Revenue at Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is growing +9.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715)?
Earnings per share at Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd are growing +20.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd (002715) carry?
The net debt of Huaiji Dengyun Auto-parts Holding Co Ltd is 151M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 38.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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