Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co (002749) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +9.4% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥7.15 (bear) to ¥11.92 (bull), base ¥9.54. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 75/100 (high quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.39 – ¥13.67 · fair‑value band ¥7.15 – ¥11.92 · the ¥8.61 price screens below the ¥9.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co (002749) currently trades at ¥8.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.54, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co generated revenue of 2.1B CNY at a net margin of 14.3%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.15 (bear case) to ¥11.92 (bull case); at ¥8.61, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 11%, 002749 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥16.27) versus Asset-Based (¥2.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, marketing, and distribution of agrochemical products and materials in China and internationally. The company offers plant growth regulators, water-soluble fertilizers, fungicides, insecticides, bio-pesticide, and herbicides.
Full company description
Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, marketing, and distribution of agrochemical products and materials in China and internationally. The company offers plant growth regulators, water-soluble fertilizers, fungicides, insecticides, bio-pesticide, and herbicides. It also provides mepiquat chloride, forchlor fenuron, prohexadione-calcium, a-naphthylacetic acid, paclobutrazol, ethephon, chlormequat chloride, uniconazole, diethyl aminoethyl hexanoate, sodium benzylamino-purine, triacontanol, sodium salt, abscisic acid, indolebutyric acid, and thidiazuron, trinexapac-ethyl. In addition, it offers mepiquat chloride, paclobutrazol and mepiquat chloride, forchlorfenuron gibberellic acid and forchlorfenuron, prohexadione-calcium, naphthyl acetic acid, indol ylbutyric acid, naphthyl acetic acid, choline chloride naphthyl acetic acid, paclobutrazol, and chlormequat. Further, the company provides chlormequat, uniconazole, prohexadione calcium, diethyl aminoethyl hexanoate, sodium 4-cpa, benzylamino-purine, triacontanol, sodium salt, and abscisic acid; ethephon, diethyl aminoethyl hexanoate ethephon, thidiazuron gibberellic acid, and thidiazuron; and amino acid water soluble, humic acid water soluble, macroelement water soluble, middle element water soluble, microelement water soluble fertilizer, and compound fertilizers. Its products are used in the fields of agriculture, horticulture, garden maintenance, and forestry protection. The company exports its products. Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥312M in FY2025, compounding +10.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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