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Tian An China Investments Company (0028) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$5.2B

TA Tian An China Investments Company 0028 · HK
PriceHK$3.48
Fair ValueHK$3.58
Upside+3.0%
Quality61/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
5.19% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/12)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range HK$2.55 – HK$4.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$3.59 to HK$3.58 (−0.2%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price −10.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$2.55 to HK$4.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$5.22 HK$2.07 Fair Value HK$3.58 Mar 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.07 – HK$5.22 · fair‑value band HK$2.55 – HK$4.61 · the HK$3.48 price screens below the HK$3.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Tian An China Investments Company (0028) currently trades at HK$3.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.58, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tian An China Investments Company generated revenue of HK$10.5B at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue grew 24.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$2.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$2.55 (bear case) to HK$4.61 (bull case); at HK$3.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 3%, 0028 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$15.16 HK$15.51 HK$15.50 76
Gordon GGM HK$0.8800 HK$1.75 HK$2.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.8800 HK$1.51 HK$1.85 61
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.8800 HK$1.75 HK$2.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.8800 HK$1.51 HK$1.85 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$15.38 HK$20.51 HK$25.63 58
P/B Multiple HK$15.38 HK$20.51 HK$25.63 55
EV/EBIT HK$55.77 HK$73.44 HK$91.11 53
EV/EBITDA HK$44.78 HK$58.79 HK$72.80 54
EV/Revenue HK$31.99 HK$44.52 HK$57.05 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$9.78 HK$13.10 HK$19.55 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$15.16 HK$15.51 HK$15.50 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$44.52) versus Dividend Discount (HK$1.51). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$10.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.9%
Net margin 16.9%
Return on equity 5.8%
Free cash flow −HK$292M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.0
More key figures
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$1.60
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +2,904%
Net cash HK$2.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 97
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tian An China Investments Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in property development and investment services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, and Australia. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Healthcare, and Other Operations segments.

Full company description

Tian An China Investments Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in property development and investment services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, and Australia. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Healthcare, and Other Operations segments. The company invests in and develops residential, office, and commercial properties; manages properties; and invests in and operates hospitals, eldercare, and health-related businesses. It also provides property leasing services for office buildings, car parking spaces, residential units, industrial property units, retail stores, shopping malls, and a hotel, as well as estate management and money lending services. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Tian An China Investments Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Allied Group Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tian An China Investments Company reported revenue of HK$10.5B in FY2025 versus HK$2.6B in FY2021, a compound +42.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.8B in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$10.5B
Latest YoY
+248.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.8%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Revenue +42.1%/yr
FY21 HK$2.6B
FY22 HK$5.1B
FY23 HK$2.8B
FY24 HK$3.0B
FY25 HK$10.5B
Net income +5.4%/yr
FY21 HK$1.4B
FY22 HK$1.5B
FY23 HK$1.2B
FY24 −HK$207M
FY25 HK$1.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tian An China Investments Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0028

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +3% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 25% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.50× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 48
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 23 · sector 10
HEALTH 92 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tian An China Investments Company (0028) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.58 versus a price of HK$3.48, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0028?
Our model-based fair value for Tian An China Investments Company is HK$3.58 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$3.48.
What is the quality score of 0028?
Tian An China Investments Company has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tian An China Investments Company (0028)?
Tian An China Investments Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$10.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0028?
The net profit margin of Tian An China Investments Company is about 16.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tian An China Investments Company pay a dividend?
Tian An China Investments Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.19% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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