Guangzhou Metro Design & Research Institute Co (003013) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.5B CNY

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The model range is unusually wide (¥8.07 to ¥24.15). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.47 – ¥23.90 · fair‑value band ¥8.07 – ¥24.15 · the ¥19.18 price screens above the ¥14.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Guangzhou Metro Design & Research Institute Co (003013) currently trades at ¥19.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.37, implying the stock looks roughly 25.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Metro Design & Research Institute Co generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 18.9%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 565M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.07 (bear case) to ¥24.15 (bull case); at ¥19.18, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -25%, 003013 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥18.97) versus Growth DCF (¥2.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Guangzhou Metro Design & Research Institute Co., Ltd. provides engineering consultancy services. The company provides professional technical services, including survey and design, planning consultation, and general contracting for rail transit, municipal, construction, and other construction projects.

Full company description

Guangzhou Metro Design & Research Institute Co., Ltd. provides engineering consultancy services. The company provides professional technical services, including survey and design, planning consultation, and general contracting for rail transit, municipal, construction, and other construction projects. It also offers measurement services; standardization services; planning and design management; engineering management services; environmental protection monitoring; geological surveys; professional design services; fire protection technical services; disaster risk assessment; national land space planning; safety production; construction project quality inspection; engineering survey and design; construction engineering survey; special equipment design; and engineering design. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangzhou Metro Design & Research Institute Co reported revenue of ¥2.6B in FY2025 versus ¥2.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥466M in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.

003013 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.