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Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co (003025) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.0B CNY

SI Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co 003025 · SHE
Price¥12.12
Fair Value¥11.43
Upside-5.7%
Quality75/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 21.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.57 – ¥14.09 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −12.4% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥8.57 (bear) to ¥14.09 (bull), base ¥11.43. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 75/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥17.43 ¥6.89 Fair Value ¥11.43 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.89 – ¥17.43 · fair‑value band ¥8.57 – ¥14.09 · the ¥12.12 price screens above the ¥11.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co (003025) currently trades at ¥12.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.43, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co generated revenue of 734M CNY at a net margin of 21.1%. Revenue grew 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 245M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.57 (bear case) to ¥14.09 (bull case); at ¥12.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -6%, 003025 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.10 ¥4.81 ¥9.39 76
Growth DCF ¥11.35 ¥20.88 ¥35.23 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.61 ¥3.21 ¥4.86 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥11.64 ¥20.17 ¥40.18 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.17 ¥14.87 ¥27.18 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.79 ¥10.30 ¥15.01 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.68 ¥16.66 ¥25.76 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥10.09 ¥17.57 ¥26.56 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.20 ¥12.23 ¥18.48 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.24 ¥16.97 ¥27.89 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥10.52 ¥17.65 ¥28.59 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.70 ¥21.33 ¥29.67 54
Lynch FV ¥6.02 ¥8.59 ¥11.17 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.02 ¥8.59 ¥11.17 46
EPV ¥6.14 ¥6.91 ¥7.57 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.61 ¥3.21 ¥4.86 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.61 ¥2.77 ¥3.39 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.57 ¥11.43 ¥14.29 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.88 ¥5.17 ¥6.46 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.94 ¥9.25 ¥11.57 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.52 ¥12.26 ¥15.01 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.22 ¥11.86 ¥14.51 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.54 ¥5.93 ¥7.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.24 ¥3.00 ¥4.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.35 ¥20.88 ¥35.23 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.79 ¥10.27 ¥15.10 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.10 ¥4.81 ¥9.39 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.95 ¥9.27 ¥12.31 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.90 ¥12.72 ¥16.53 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥16.66) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.77). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 734M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.2%
Net margin 21.1%
Return on equity 12.6%
Free cash flow 219M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 32.7
More key figures
Operating margin 28.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5400
Net cash 245M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of multi-station high-speed automatic cold forming equipment and die casting equipment in China. The company offers bolt and nut-former machines, thread rolling machines, one die two blow headers, and die casting machines.

Full company description

Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of multi-station high-speed automatic cold forming equipment and die casting equipment in China. The company offers bolt and nut-former machines, thread rolling machines, one die two blow headers, and die casting machines. Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥734M in FY2025 versus ¥478M in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥155M in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 99/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
734M CNY
Latest YoY
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+15.1%
Revenue +11.3%/yr
FY21 ¥478M
FY22 ¥508M
FY23 ¥486M
FY24 ¥624M
FY25 ¥734M
Net income +5.8%/yr
FY21 ¥123M
FY22 ¥139M
FY23 ¥97.6M
FY24 ¥182M
FY25 ¥155M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/003025

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.94× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 26 · sector 0
FUTURE 31 · sector 23
PAST 50 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co (003025) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.43 versus a price of ¥12.12, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 003025?
Our model-based fair value for Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co is ¥11.43 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.12.
What is the quality score of 003025?
Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co (003025)?
Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 734M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 003025?
The net profit margin of Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co is about 21.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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