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Changhae Ethanol Co (004650) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · KR · Market cap 71.1B KRW

Price9,460 KRW
Fair Value19,350 KRW
Upside+104.5%
Quality93/100
Evidence: High Range 14,512 KRW – 24,531 KRW

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

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Analysis

Changhae Ethanol Co (004650) currently trades at 9,460 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19,350 KRW — implying the stock looks roughly 104.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 93/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Changhae Ethanol Co., Ltd. produces and sells spirits from sugar cane, tapioca, rice, and barley crops in South Korea. The company offers fermented ethyl alcohol and refined alcohol. It also provides DDGS, a raw material for manufacturing high quality feed; CO2, a carbon dioxide gas generated during fermentation process; and CDS, a raw material for liquid feed and fertilizer. In addition, the company provides raw material for bio-microbe control field and biochemical field. Further, it engages in the construction equipment rental business. Changhae Ethanol Co., Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Jeonju-si, South Korea.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Changhae Ethanol Co (004650) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 19,350 KRW versus a price of 9,460 KRW — about +105% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 004650?
Our 21-model fair value for Changhae Ethanol Co is 19,350 KRW (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 9,460 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004650?
Changhae Ethanol Co has a Quality Score of 93/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.