Samchully (004690) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Samchully KRW 204,102, price KRW 130,900, upside +55.9%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Samchully for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 73,069 KRW – 477,846 KRW · fair‑value band 146,250 KRW – 258,145 KRW · the 130,900 KRW price screens below the 204,102 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Samchully in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Samchully is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Samchully Co.,Ltd. engages in the supplying of natural gas in South Korea and the United States. It is involved in the operation of compressed natural gas (CNG) stations for natural gas vehicles; and energy audit businesses. The company also generates and supplies electricity for Korea Power Exchange.
Show more
Samchully Co.,Ltd. engages in the supplying of natural gas in South Korea and the United States. It is involved in the operation of compressed natural gas (CNG) stations for natural gas vehicles; and energy audit businesses. The company also generates and supplies electricity for Korea Power Exchange. In addition, it engages in piping and cooling/heating works; car dealership activities; plumbing and cooling/heating equipment wholesale business; supplying of steam, hot and cold water, and air conditioning products; waste disposal business; investment, consulting, etc. activities; food and hotel businesses; and production, transportation, and sale of energy. The company was formerly known as Samchully Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Samchully Co.,Ltd. in October 1984. Samchully Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Samchully (004690) currently trades at 130,900 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 204,102 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 35.9% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 566,363 KRW per share, and 24 of the 26 models we run sit above the 130,900 KRW price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 29,652 KRW, and 2 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 146,250 KRW (bear) to 258,145 KRW (bull), the price of 130,900 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Samchully reported revenue of 5.3T KRW in FY2025 versus 3.8T KRW in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was 112B KRW in FY2025, compounding +17.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 448B KRW (≈ $329M) · P/S ratio 0.07 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin 6.1% · Revenue (TTM) 5.3T KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 56%, 004690 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 146,250 KRWFair Value 204,102 KRWBull 258,145 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+27.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+56% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.36× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Samchully Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/004690
Frequently asked questions
Is Samchully (004690) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 204,102 KRW versus a price of 130,900 KRW, about +56% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 004690?
Our model-based fair value for Samchully is 204,102 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 130,900 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004690?
Samchully has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Samchully (004690)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 204,102 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 146,250 KRW, optimistic scenario 258,145 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Samchully stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 204,102 KRW, about +56% upside versus a price of 130,900 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 146,250 KRW, optimistic scenario 258,145 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Samchully (004690)?
Samchully reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.3T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Samchully pay a dividend?
Samchully currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Samchully (004690)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Samchully would have to grow free cash flow by -9.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 004690 use?
Our models discount Samchully at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.40, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Samchully that is -9.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Samchully (004690) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Samchully grew +10.4 % a year. The price currently implies -9.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Samchully (004690) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Samchully (-9.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Samchully (004690)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 41.06 %: that much free cash flow Samchully produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Samchully (004690)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Samchully it is 204,102 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 130,900 KRW. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Samchully stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 004690 trades below its calculated fair value: price 130,900 KRW, fair value 204,102 KRW, a gap of about +56% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 004690?
No. The price is what the market pays today (130,900 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (204,102 KRW). For Samchully the two are 73,202 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Samchully worth?
The market values Samchully at about 448B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 130,900 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 204,102 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 004690?
Our models span a range for Samchully: cautious scenario 146,250 KRW, base 204,102 KRW, optimistic 258,145 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 130,900 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Samchully (004690)?
Balance-sheet figures for Samchully (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 004690 from its 52-week high?
Samchully trades at 130,900 KRW, about 15% below its 52-week high of 154,706 KRW and 19% above the low of 109,900 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 204,102 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Samchully?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, NiSource Inc, Uniper SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Samchully stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 130,900 KRW, calculated fair value 204,102 KRW (+56%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 004690 calculated?
We run Samchully through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 204,102 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Samchully currently trades 56 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Samchully (004690)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 130,900 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 204,102 KRW, about +56% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Samchully right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (146,250 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Samchully
How large is the market capitalisation of Samchully (004690)?
The market capitalisation of Samchully is 448B KRW (≈ $329M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Samchully (004690)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Samchully is 0.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Samchully (004690)?
The dividend yield of Samchully is 2.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Samchully (004690)?
The net margin of Samchully is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Samchully (004690)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Samchully is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Samchully (004690)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Samchully is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Samchully (004690)?
The operating margin of Samchully is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Samchully (004690)?
Revenue at Samchully is growing −0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Samchully (004690)?
Earnings per share at Samchully are growing +15.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Samchully (004690) carry?
The net debt of Samchully is 596B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Samchully in the live analysis
One click puts Samchully on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
