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China Graphene Group Ltd (0063) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Graphene Group Ltd stock HK$0.04, price HK$0.03, upside +41.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate HK · Based in China · ISIN BMG2123P1059

CG China Graphene Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 12, 2026

China Graphene Group Ltd

0063 · HK

Cheap (29% below fair value), but weak company and falling price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Fair value HK$0.0409 · Undervalued 
Low debt 
Generates free cash flow 
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 21% above the price (HK$0.0351). 
Quality 47/100 
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +57.0 %/yr in HKD) 
Thin margins · 7.1% net margin (TTM) 
Mixed vs. peers (7/13) 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Narrow moat 32/100 · thin data
Thin data 
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.1690 HK$0.0280 Fair Value HK$0.0409 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0280 – HK$0.1690 · fair‑value band HK$0.0351 – HK$0.0438 · the HK$0.0290 price screens below the HK$0.0409 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

China Asia Valley Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property management business in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China.

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It operates through four segments: Property Investment, Horticultural Services, Property Management and Other Related Services, and Construction Services.

The company is involved in the leasing of residential properties under sub-lease arrangements; and providing property management and other related services; and construction services for buildings and related services.

It also provides horticultural services and sells plants under Cheung Kee Garden brand name. China Asia Valley Group Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. China Asia Valley Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Asia Group Inc.

Stock analysis

China Graphene Group Ltd (0063) currently trades at HK$0.0290, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0409, implying the stock looks roughly 29% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2900 per share, and 22 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$0.0290 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.0400, and 0 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0351 (bear) to HK$0.0438 (bull), the price of HK$0.0290 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

China Graphene Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$164M in FY2025 versus HK$37.8M in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$10.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$184M (≈ $23.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.60 · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$162M · Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at 41%, 0063 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0351 Fair Value HK$0.0409 Bull HK$0.0438
Price HK$0.0290 · Upside +41.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF HK$0.2600 HK$0.3800 HK$0.7600 77
Growth DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.4300 HK$0.7300 76
EPV HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2600 HK$0.3800 HK$0.7600 77
Owner Earnings HK$0.2300 HK$0.4900 HK$0.9800 71
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2100 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2000 HK$0.3300 HK$0.5800 73
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.1000 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2200 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1500 HK$0.2400 HK$0.2800 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2200 HK$0.4300 HK$0.7900 65
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.1500 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3600 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0100 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 63
Lynch FV HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 57
EPV HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1100 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1900 55
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1000 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2000 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.4300 HK$0.7300 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1000 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2300 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.0500 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0500 71
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0800 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 43
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +30.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+30.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−105% → 12%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 136% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−22.8%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −24.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 477 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +41.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 2.2% · Below median
Return on assets 1.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 7.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 9.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 7.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.14× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 2.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.5× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.83× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)88 · sector 53
FUTURE (revenue growth)40 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)9 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vonovia SE VNA €16.76 €36.43 +117% vs 0063
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $366.83 $529.78 +44% vs 0063
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.30 HK$55.32 +41% vs 0063
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €26.86 €23.64 −12% vs 0063
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$31.60 HK$27.21 −14% vs 0063
CBRE Group CBRE $133.12 $89.81 −33% vs 0063
KE Holdings BEKE $17.86 $7.82 −56% vs 0063
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.38 SGD 0.7800 SGD −67% vs 0063
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$25.68 HK$5.88 −77% vs 0063
CoStar Group CSGP $30.96 $6.09 −80% vs 0063

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China Graphene Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Graphene Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0063

Frequently asked questions

Is China Graphene Group Ltd (0063) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0409 versus a price of HK$0.0290, about +41% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0063?
Our model-based fair value for China Graphene Group Ltd is HK$0.0409 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0290.
What is the quality score of 0063?
China Graphene Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0409 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0351, optimistic scenario HK$0.0438. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Graphene Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0409, about +41% upside versus a price of HK$0.0290 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0351, optimistic scenario HK$0.0438. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
China Graphene Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$162M (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Graphene Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -22.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +57.0 % per year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0063 use?
Our models discount China Graphene Group Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Graphene Group Ltd that is -22.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Graphene Group Ltd (0063) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Graphene Group Ltd grew +57.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -22.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Graphene Group Ltd (-22.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 46.58 %: that much free cash flow China Graphene Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Graphene Group Ltd it is HK$0.0409 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0290. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is China Graphene Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 0063 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0290, fair value HK$0.0409, a gap of about +41% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0063?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0290); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0409). For China Graphene Group Ltd the two are HK$0.0119 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Graphene Group Ltd worth?
The market values China Graphene Group Ltd at about HK$184M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0290; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0409 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0063?
Our models span a range for China Graphene Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0351, base HK$0.0409, optimistic HK$0.0438 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price HK$0.0290). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0063?
The PEG ratio of China Graphene Group Ltd is 1.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 12, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Graphene Group Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0063 from its 52-week high?
China Graphene Group Ltd trades at HK$0.0290, about 57% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0670 and 4% above the low of HK$0.0280 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0409 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Graphene Group Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Graphene Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price HK$0.0290, calculated fair value HK$0.0409 (+41%), Quality Score 47/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0063 calculated?
We run China Graphene Group Ltd through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.0409 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. China Graphene Group Ltd currently trades 29% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.0290. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0409, about +41% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Graphene Group Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (47/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0351). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of China Graphene Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
The market capitalisation of China Graphene Group Ltd is HK$184M (≈ $23.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Graphene Group Ltd is 1.60 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
The net margin of China Graphene Group Ltd is 6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Graphene Group Ltd is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Graphene Group Ltd is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
The operating margin of China Graphene Group Ltd is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
Revenue at China Graphene Group Ltd is growing +7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +60.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Graphene Group Ltd (0063)?
Earnings per share at China Graphene Group Ltd are growing +58.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Graphene Group Ltd (0063) carry?
The net debt of China Graphene Group Ltd is HK$411M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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