Simpac (009160) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Simpac stock KRW 7,664, price KRW 4,720, upside +62.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2,628 KRW – 6,839 KRW · fair‑value band 7,491 KRW – 7,953 KRW · the 4,720 KRW price screens below the 7,664 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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SIMPAC Co., Ltd. through its subsidiaries, manufactures presses, and ferroalloys and rolls. The company manufactures mechanical, servo, hydraulic, and automation presses.
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It also manufactures ferroalloys, including ferromanganese, silicon manganese, and ferro-nickel chrome for steel making; and polyurethane rolls used in hot-rolled and cold-rolled steel making, papermaking, and rubber hammer and polyurethane screen products.
In addition, the company offers structural welding plates for general use, steel plates for shipbuilding, pressure container steel plates for boilers, line pipe plates, and atmospheric corrosion resistant steel plates; and machine structural steel, tool steel, and steel for special purpose.
The company was founded in 1973 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Simpac (009160) currently trades at 4,720 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7,664 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 38.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 10,701 KRW per share, and 13 of the 14 models we run sit above the 4,720 KRW price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 6,363 KRW, and 1 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 7,491 KRW (bear) to 7,953 KRW (bull), the price of 4,720 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Simpac reported revenue of 1.2T KRW in FY2025 versus 613B KRW in FY2021, a compound +17.8%/yr. Reported net income was 20.6B KRW in FY2025, compounding −31.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 260B KRW (≈ $196M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.23 · Dividend yield 6.4% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2% · Operating margin 6.8% · Revenue (TTM) 1.2T KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 62%, 009160 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear7,491 KRWFair Value 7,664 KRWBull7,953 KRW
Price 4,720 KRW · Upside +62.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+44.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.9% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.4% vs 2.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 800 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+62.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.4% · Below median
Return on assets1.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)24.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)6.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Simpac Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/009160
Frequently asked questions
Is Simpac (009160) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7,664 KRW versus a price of 4,720 KRW, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 009160?
Our model-based fair value for Simpac is 7,664 KRW (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,720 KRW.
What is the quality score of 009160?
Simpac has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Simpac (009160)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7,664 KRW (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7,491 KRW, optimistic scenario 7,953 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Simpac stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7,664 KRW, about +62% upside versus a price of 4,720 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 7,491 KRW, optimistic scenario 7,953 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Simpac (009160)?
Simpac reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2T KRW (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Simpac pay a dividend?
Simpac currently shows a dividend yield of 6.36% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Simpac (009160)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Simpac it is 7,664 KRW per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 4,720 KRW. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Simpac stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 009160 trades below its calculated fair value: price 4,720 KRW, fair value 7,664 KRW, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 009160?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,720 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7,664 KRW). For Simpac the two are 2,944 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Simpac worth?
The market values Simpac at about 260B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 4,720 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 7,664 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 009160?
Our models span a range for Simpac: cautious scenario 7,491 KRW, base 7,664 KRW, optimistic 7,953 KRW per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 4,720 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Simpac (009160)?
Balance-sheet figures for Simpac (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 3.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 009160 from its 52-week high?
Simpac trades at 4,720 KRW, about 29% below its 52-week high of 6,680 KRW and 22% above the low of 3,870 KRW (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7,664 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Simpac?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Simpac stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 4,720 KRW, calculated fair value 7,664 KRW (+62%), Quality Score 55/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 009160 calculated?
We run Simpac through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7,664 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Simpac currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Simpac (009160)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was 4,720 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 7,664 KRW, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Simpac right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (7,491 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (7,491 KRW to 7,953 KRW), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Simpac
How large is the market capitalisation of Simpac (009160)?
The market capitalisation of Simpac is 260B KRW (≈ $196M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Simpac (009160)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Simpac is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Simpac (009160)?
The dividend yield of Simpac is 6.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Simpac (009160)?
The net margin of Simpac is 1.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Simpac (009160)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Simpac is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Simpac (009160)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Simpac is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Simpac (009160)?
The operating margin of Simpac is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Simpac (009160)?
Revenue at Simpac is growing +24.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Simpac (009160)?
Earnings per share at Simpac are growing −90.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Simpac (009160) generate?
The free cash flow of Simpac is −294M KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Simpac (009160) carry?
The net debt of Simpac is 279B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 2, 2026