Han Chang Pape (009460) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · KR · Market cap 33.7B KRW
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 4,656 KRW to 5,464 KRW (+17.4%) since Jul 24, 2026. Share price +28.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 58% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,078 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (4,078 KRW to 8,155 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,828 KRW – 14,569 KRW · fair‑value band 4,078 KRW – 8,155 KRW · the 3,465 KRW price screens below the 5,464 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Han Chang Pape (009460) currently trades at 3,465 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,464 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Han Chang Pape generated revenue of 200B KRW at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. Net debt stands at 128B KRW. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4,078 KRW (bear case) to 8,155 KRW (bull case); at 3,465 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 58%, 009460 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (4,656 KRW) versus Multiples (3,746 KRW). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hanchangpaper co., Ltd engages in the manufacture and distribution of paper board products worldwide. The company offers industrial paper board; and specialty paper boards, including colored, extra-processing, rough gloss, and other paper boards. It also provides compostable paper cups and food containers.
Full company description
Hanchangpaper co., Ltd engages in the manufacture and distribution of paper board products worldwide. The company offers industrial paper board; and specialty paper boards, including colored, extra-processing, rough gloss, and other paper boards. It also provides compostable paper cups and food containers. The company was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Yangsan-si, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Han Chang Pape reported revenue of 267B KRW in FY2025 versus 182B KRW in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was −13.1B KRW in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 117 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.55 | R$3.80 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.18 | €14.21 | -39% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.29 | R$101.11 | +145% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 109.40 | kr 49.40 | -55% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.94 | ¥17.29 | +24% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 314.00 | kr 217.72 | -31% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.92 | HK$8.74 | +10% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,000 CLP | 1,253 CLP | +25% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥21.11 | ¥21.06 | -0% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 74.55 | kr 48.60 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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