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LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd stock HK$0.46, price HK$0.19, upside +150.3%, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 5 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate HK · ISIN KYG5727E1035

LC LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd

0095 · HK
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 60% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value HK$0.4630 · Strongly undervalued
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 43% above the price (HK$0.2640).
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y −7.3 %/yr in CNY)
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Quality 33/100
Loss-making · -70.9% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.05 HK$0.1380 Fair Value HK$0.4630 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1380 – HK$2.05 · fair‑value band HK$0.2640 – HK$0.7820 · the HK$0.1850 price screens below the HK$0.4630 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development and investment businesses in the Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, and the Kingdom of Cambodia.

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It operates through Real Estate Development and Sales, Commercial Property Investment and Operations, and Comprehensive Services segments.

The company is also involved in real estate sales; investment, operation, and leasing of commercial properties, office premises, apartments, and car parks; and operation of hotels.

In addition, it provides property management and other services to customers and tenants of its residential and commercial properties. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) currently trades at HK$0.1850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4630, implying the stock looks roughly 60% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 5 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2640 (bear) to HK$0.7820 (bull), the price of HK$0.1850 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2021: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2021.

LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −19.2%/yr. Reported net income was −8.8B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.2B (≈ $150M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.11 · Return on equity −45.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.7% · Revenue growth (YoY) +840% · EPS growth (YoY) +3.9% · Free cash flow 2.0B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at 150%, 0095 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2640 Fair Value HK$0.4630 Bull HK$0.7820
Price HK$0.1850 · Upside +150.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF HK$5.35 HK$8.48 HK$16.09 77
Growth DCF HK$5.09 HK$8.93 HK$15.10 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.81 HK$4.60 HK$7.52 71
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$5.35 HK$8.48 HK$16.09 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.81 HK$4.60 HK$7.52 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.65 HK$5.93 HK$8.62 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8700 HK$1.17 HK$1.75 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$5.09 HK$8.93 HK$15.10 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 0
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 45
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 15
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 13
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2021: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2021.
Revenue growth 1 year
−49.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
38.0% (2020) → −186.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +150.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −70.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 839.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.20× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.10× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 0.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 68
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)90 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$32.02 HK$80.05 +150% vs 0095
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$13.18 HK$22.51 +71% vs 0095
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 62,100 VND 105,995 VND +71% vs 0095
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$49.12 HK$72.05 +47% vs 0095
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$117.70 HK$156.00 +33% vs 0095
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.60 ¥5.87 +5% vs 0095
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.84 ¥5.64 −28% vs 0095
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,179 ₹271.92 −77% vs 0095
DLF Limited DLF ₹752.90 ₹167.48 −78% vs 0095
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.28 $1.52 −82% vs 0095

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LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0095

Frequently asked questions

Is LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4630 versus a price of HK$0.1850, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0095?
Our model-based fair value for LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is HK$0.4630 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1850.
What is the quality score of 0095?
LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4630 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2640, optimistic scenario HK$0.7820. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4630, about +150% upside versus a price of HK$0.1850 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2640, optimistic scenario HK$0.7820. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd it is HK$0.4630 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1850. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 0095 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1850, fair value HK$0.4630, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0095?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4630). For LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd the two are HK$0.2780 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd worth?
The market values LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd at about HK$1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1850; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4630 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0095?
Our models span a range for LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2640, base HK$0.4630, optimistic HK$0.7820 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price HK$0.1850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Balance-sheet figures for LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −45.5%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0095 from its 52-week high?
LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd trades at HK$0.1850, about 53% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3950 and 34% above the low of HK$0.1380 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4630 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price HK$0.1850, calculated fair value HK$0.4630 (+150%), Quality Score 33/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0095 calculated?
We run LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd through 5 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.4630 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd currently trades 60% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$0.1850. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4630, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2640). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.2640 to HK$0.7820). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The market capitalisation of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is HK$1.2B (≈ $150M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the return on equity of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is −45.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The operating margin of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Revenue at LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is growing +840% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Earnings per share at LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd are growing +3.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) generate?
The free cash flow of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is 2.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) carry?
The net debt of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is 31.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 16.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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