LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd HK$0.10, price HK$0.18, upside -41.6%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1380 – HK$2.16 · fair‑value band HK$0.0758 – HK$0.1411 · the HK$0.1790 price screens above the HK$0.1045 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development and investment businesses in the Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, and the Kingdom of Cambodia.
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LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development and investment businesses in the Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, and the Kingdom of Cambodia. It operates through Real Estate Development and Sales, Commercial Property Investment and Operations, and Comprehensive Services segments. The company is also involved in real estate sales; investment, operation, and leasing of commercial properties, office premises, apartments, and car parks; and operation of hotels. In addition, it provides property management and other services to customers and tenants of its residential and commercial properties. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) currently trades at HK$0.1790, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1045, implying the stock looks roughly 71.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0758 (bear) to HK$0.1411 (bull), the price of HK$0.1790 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −19.2%/yr. Reported net income was −8.8B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.1B (≈ $138M) · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.3100 · Return on equity −50.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% · Operating margin −438% · Revenue (TTM) 1.9B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −53.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −42%, 0095 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0758Fair Value HK$0.1045Bull HK$0.1411
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−49.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
38.0% (2020) → −186.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−42% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−53% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0095
Frequently asked questions
Is LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1045 versus a price of HK$0.1790, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0095?
Our model-based fair value for LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is HK$0.1045 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1790.
What is the quality score of 0095?
LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1045 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0758, optimistic scenario HK$0.1411. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1045, about −42% upside versus a price of HK$0.1790 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0758, optimistic scenario HK$0.1411. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd it is HK$0.1045 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1790. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0095 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1790, fair value HK$0.1045, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0095?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1790); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1045). For LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0745 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd worth?
The market values LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd at about HK$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1790; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1045 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0095?
Our models span a range for LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0758, base HK$0.1045, optimistic HK$0.1411 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.1790). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Balance-sheet figures for LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −50.2%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0095 from its 52-week high?
LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd trades at HK$0.1790, about 55% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3950 and 30% above the low of HK$0.1380 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1045 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.1790, calculated fair value HK$0.1045 (−42%), Quality Score 31/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0095 calculated?
We run LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1045, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.1790. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1045, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1411). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0758 to HK$0.1411) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The market capitalisation of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is HK$1.1B (≈ $138M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Earnings per share at LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd are HK$−0.3100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is −50.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
The operating margin of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is −438% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Revenue at LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is growing −53.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095)?
Earnings per share at LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd are growing +3.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) generate?
The free cash flow of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is 2.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd (0095) carry?
The net debt of LVGEM China Real Estate Investment Co Ltd is 31.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 16.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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