LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company (0095) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$999M
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −11.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1068 to HK$0.2199) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1380 – HK$2.30 · fair‑value band HK$0.1068 – HK$0.2199 · the HK$0.1830 price screens above the HK$0.1530 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company (0095) currently trades at HK$0.1830, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1530, implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$1.9B. Revenue declined 53.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -50.2%. Net debt stands at HK$31.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1068 (bear case) to HK$0.2199 (bull case); at HK$0.1830, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -16%, 0095 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$4.27) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development and investment businesses in the Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, and the Kingdom of Cambodia.
Full company description
LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development and investment businesses in the Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, and the Kingdom of Cambodia. It operates through Real Estate Development and Sales, Commercial Property Investment and Operations, and Comprehensive Services segments. The company is also involved in real estate sales; investment, operation, and leasing of commercial properties, office premises, apartments, and car parks; and operation of hotels. In addition, it provides property management and other services to customers and tenants of its residential and commercial properties. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company reported revenue of HK$1.9B in FY2025 versus HK$4.4B in FY2021, a compound −19.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$8.8B in FY2025.
0095 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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