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Korea Refractories Co (010040) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · KR · Market cap 59.3B KRW

KR Korea Refractories Co 010040 · KO
Price1,700 KRW
Fair Value900.26 KRW
Upside-47.0%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -5.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range 647.30 KRW – 1,188 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +8.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,188 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (647.30 KRW to 1,188 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

4,708 KRW 1,362 KRW Fair Value 900.26 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,362 KRW – 4,708 KRW · fair‑value band 647.30 KRW – 1,188 KRW · the 1,700 KRW price screens above the 900.26 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Korea Refractories Co (010040) currently trades at 1,700 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 900.26 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 47.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Korea Refractories Co generated revenue of 390B KRW at a net margin of -5.5%. Revenue declined 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.1%. Net debt stands at 10.2B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 647.30 KRW (bear case) to 1,188 KRW (bull case); at 1,700 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -47%, 010040 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,767 KRW 2,470 KRW 3,471 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,176 KRW 1,579 KRW 2,045 KRW 74
ROIC Compounder 608.67 KRW 662.33 KRW 709.27 KRW 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,740 KRW 2,529 KRW 3,724 KRW 38
5Y Revenue Exit 1,176 KRW 1,562 KRW 2,035 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2,612 KRW 4,233 KRW 6,122 KRW 41
10Y Revenue Exit 1,349 KRW 1,747 KRW 2,250 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2,281 KRW 3,596 KRW 5,353 KRW 37
Earnings-Based
EPV 608.67 KRW 662.33 KRW 709.27 KRW 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT 1,149 KRW 1,436 KRW 1,723 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 3,434 KRW 4,483 KRW 5,532 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 901.93 KRW 1,166 KRW 1,429 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2,120 KRW 2,840 KRW 4,239 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,767 KRW 2,470 KRW 3,471 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,176 KRW 1,579 KRW 2,045 KRW 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 608.67 KRW 662.33 KRW 709.27 KRW 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (2,840 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (662.33 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 390B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.3%
Net margin -5.5%
Return on equity -12.1%
Free cash flow 5.3B KRW FY2025
Operating margin -0.4%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +1,369%
Net debt 10.2B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Korea Refractories Co., Ltd operates in the refractories industry in South Korea. The company's refractories include shaped, monolithic, and functional refractories.

Full company description

Korea Refractories Co., Ltd operates in the refractories industry in South Korea. The company's refractories include shaped, monolithic, and functional refractories. It also designs, constructs, and operates heating and heat treatment facilities for various industries; designs, constructs, and supervises refractories that are used for industrial plants, including metal, chemical, power generation, and environmental facilities; and constructs raw materials storage facilities, gravity tanks, chimneys, and iron frame structures. In addition, the company is involved in the powder processing activities; and offers construction and maintenance services. Its products are used in various applications, such as iron and steel making, power plant, incinerator, cement and lime, glass, nonferrous metal, chemical, heating furnace, reheating furnace, and stack applications. The company was formerly known as Korea Special Refractories Co. Ltd and changed its name to Korea Refractories Co., Ltd in January 1995. Korea Refractories Co., Ltd was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Dangjin-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Korea Refractories Co reported revenue of 406B KRW in FY2025 versus 272B KRW in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was −21.8B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
406B KRW
Latest YoY
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Revenue +10.6%/yr
FY21 272B KRW
FY22 359B KRW
FY23 412B KRW
FY24 416B KRW
FY25 406B KRW
Net income
FY21 5.7B KRW
FY22 809M KRW
FY23 −14.7B KRW
FY24 5.5B KRW
FY25 −21.8B KRW

010040 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Korea Refractories Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/010040

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Korea Refractories Co (010040) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 900.26 KRW versus a price of 1,700 KRW, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 010040?
Our model-based fair value for Korea Refractories Co is 900.26 KRW (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,700 KRW.
What is the quality score of 010040?
Korea Refractories Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Korea Refractories Co (010040)?
Korea Refractories Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 390B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 010040?
The net profit margin of Korea Refractories Co is about -5.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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