Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lippo China Resources Ltd HK$0.31, price HK$1.18, upside -73.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.6100 – HK$1.38 · fair‑value band HK$0.0620 – HK$0.6800 · the HK$1.18 price screens above the HK$0.3100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Lippo China Resources Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the food, property management, and other businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Singapore, Malaysia, and internationally.
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Lippo China Resources Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the food, property management, and other businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Singapore, Malaysia, and internationally. It operates through Property Investment, Treasury Investment, Securities Investment, Food Businesses, Healthcare Services, Property Management, and Other segments. The company is involved in the wholesale of confectionery and bakery products, and beverages; manufacture and sale of bread, cakes, and other bakery and pastry products; provision of food management, training services, consultation, supply, and related matters; manufacture and retail, and trading of food products, as well as owns and operates restaurants, bistros, cafes, kiosk, café-bakeries, and bakery corners. It also engages in the development, letting, sale, and resale of real estate properties, as well as offers property management and real estate agency services. In addition, the company is involved in the exploration, extraction, and processing of minerals; investment in a closed-end fund; and provision of fund management services. Further, it engages in healthcare management and financing activities; provision of management, commercial and other consulting, and catering services; and development of software products, as well as invests in money markets and securities. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Lippo China Resources Limited is a subsidiary of Skyscraper Realty Limited.
Stock analysis
Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156) currently trades at HK$1.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 280.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$1.36 per share, and 1 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$1.18 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$0.0400, and 8 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0620 (bear) to HK$0.6800 (bull), the price of HK$1.18 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lippo China Resources Ltd reported revenue of HK$864M in FY2026 versus HK$649M in FY2022, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$61.3M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.1B (≈ $138M) · P/S ratio 1.05 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0900 · Net margin −7.1% · Return on equity −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.5% · Operating margin −2.0% · Revenue (TTM) HK$864M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −74%, 0156 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$0.0300 to HK$1.36). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear HK$0.0620Fair Value HK$0.3100Bull HK$0.6800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−30.6% (2021) → −9.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.5% a year for the price.
Compare Lippo China Resources Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 226 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−74% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.44× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF4.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA52.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)64· sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)78· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 70
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lippo China Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0156
Frequently asked questions
Is Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3100 versus a price of HK$1.18, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0156?
Our model-based fair value for Lippo China Resources Ltd is HK$0.3100 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.18.
What is the quality score of 0156?
Lippo China Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3100 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0620, optimistic scenario HK$0.6800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lippo China Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3100, about −74% upside versus a price of HK$1.18 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0620, optimistic scenario HK$0.6800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
Lippo China Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$864M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lippo China Resources Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +39.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0156 use?
Our models discount Lippo China Resources Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lippo China Resources Ltd that is +39.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lippo China Resources Ltd grew +5.7 % a year. The price currently implies +39.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lippo China Resources Ltd (+39.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.73 %: that much free cash flow Lippo China Resources Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lippo China Resources Ltd it is HK$0.3100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.18. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lippo China Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0156 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.18, fair value HK$0.3100, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0156?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3100). For Lippo China Resources Ltd the two are HK$0.8700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lippo China Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Lippo China Resources Ltd at about HK$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.18; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0156?
Our models span a range for Lippo China Resources Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0620, base HK$0.3100, optimistic HK$0.6800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lippo China Resources Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.7%, debt of 0.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0156 from its 52-week high?
Lippo China Resources Ltd trades at HK$1.18, at its 52-week high of HK$1.18 and 57% above the low of HK$0.7500 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lippo China Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lippo China Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.18, calculated fair value HK$0.3100 (−74%), Quality Score 49/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0156 calculated?
We run Lippo China Resources Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lippo China Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$1.18. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3100, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lippo China Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.6800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0620 to HK$0.6800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Lippo China Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
The market capitalisation of Lippo China Resources Ltd is HK$1.1B (≈ $138M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lippo China Resources Ltd is 1.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
Earnings per share at Lippo China Resources Ltd are HK$−0.0900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
The net margin of Lippo China Resources Ltd is −7.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lippo China Resources Ltd is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lippo China Resources Ltd is −3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
The operating margin of Lippo China Resources Ltd is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156)?
Revenue at Lippo China Resources Ltd is growing +12.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Lippo China Resources Ltd (0156) carry?
The net debt of Lippo China Resources Ltd is HK$844M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 28.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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