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Chinney Investments Ltd (0216) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Chinney Investments Ltd HK$1.08, price HK$0.43, upside +151.2%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · HK · ISIN HK0216001088

CI Thin data Sep 29, 2026

Chinney Investments Ltd

0216 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$1.08 · Strongly undervalued (+151.2%)
!Quality 53/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +9.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -62.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (7/11)
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range HK$0.2150 to HK$2.07
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.70 HK$0.4300 Fair Value HK$1.08 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4300 – HK$1.70 · fair‑value band HK$0.2150 – HK$2.07 · the HK$0.4300 price screens below the HK$1.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Chinney Investments, Limited, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the property development and investment activities in Hong Kong, Japan, and Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Property Development; Property Investment; and Property, Carpark Management, and Others.

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Chinney Investments, Limited, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the property development and investment activities in Hong Kong, Japan, and Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Property Development; Property Investment; and Property, Carpark Management, and Others. The company is also involved in sub-leasing of carparking business, as well as offers management services to residential and commercial properties. It also offers property holding and letting, carpark management, project management, nominee, financing, and money lending services. The company was incorporated in 1959 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Chinney Investments, Limited is a subsidiary of Chinney Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

Chinney Investments Ltd (0216) currently trades at HK$0.4300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.08, implying the stock looks roughly 60.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$8.65 per share, and 11 of the 12 models we run sit above the HK$0.4300 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.3400, and 1 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2150 (bear) to HK$2.07 (bull), the price of HK$0.4300 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Chinney Investments Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.0B in FY2025 versus HK$1.3B in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$564M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$292M (≈ $37.2M) · P/S ratio 0.25 · EPS (TTM) HK$−1.32 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin −54.9% · Return on equity −8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% · Operating margin 44.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 151%, 0216 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2150 Fair Value HK$1.08 Bull HK$2.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$4.27 HK$11.00 HK$20.56 75
Growth DCF HK$4.54 HK$10.58 HK$18.69 75
5Y Revenue Exit n/a HK$3.00 HK$7.59 69
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$4.27 HK$11.00 HK$20.56 75
5Y Revenue Exit n/a HK$3.00 HK$7.59 69
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.9600 HK$6.17 HK$12.03 69
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.8300 HK$4.61 HK$9.26 61
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.09 HK$6.73 HK$12.50 64
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.2200 HK$0.4400 HK$0.6600 67
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2200 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4600 66
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$1.95 HK$5.89 HK$9.83 60
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2100 HK$3.58 HK$6.94 58
EV/Revenue n/a n/a HK$2.24 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$6.45 HK$8.65 HK$12.91 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$4.54 HK$10.58 HK$18.69 75
Rev-Margin DCF n/a HK$2.31 HK$6.17 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
39.7% (2018) → 36.9% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +151.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −62.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 44.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 38.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.92× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 70
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)54 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)94 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.00 HK$71.49 +55%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹683.00 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.56 ¥5.87 +6%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%
The Wharf (Holdings) Limited 0004 HK$19.39 HK$8.31 −57%
CTP N.V CTPNV €12.90 €10.46 −19%

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HK$1.08 +60%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chinney Investments Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0216

Frequently asked questions

Is Chinney Investments Ltd (0216) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.08 versus a price of HK$0.4300, about +151% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0216?
Our model-based fair value for Chinney Investments Ltd is HK$1.08 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4300.
What is the quality score of 0216?
Chinney Investments Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.08 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2150, optimistic scenario HK$2.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chinney Investments Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.08, about +151% upside versus a price of HK$0.4300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2150, optimistic scenario HK$2.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
Chinney Investments Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Chinney Investments Ltd pay a dividend?
Chinney Investments Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chinney Investments Ltd it is HK$1.08 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4300. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chinney Investments Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0216 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4300, fair value HK$1.08, a gap of about +151% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0216?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.08). For Chinney Investments Ltd the two are HK$0.6500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chinney Investments Ltd worth?
The market values Chinney Investments Ltd at about HK$292M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4300; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0216?
Our models span a range for Chinney Investments Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2150, base HK$1.08, optimistic HK$2.07 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price HK$0.4300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chinney Investments Ltd (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity −8.4%, debt of 0.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0216 from its 52-week high?
Chinney Investments Ltd trades at HK$0.4300, about 36% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6700 and at the low of HK$0.4300 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chinney Investments Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chinney Investments Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price HK$0.4300, calculated fair value HK$1.08 (+151%), Quality Score 53/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0216 calculated?
We run Chinney Investments Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Chinney Investments Ltd currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.4300. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.08, about +151% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chinney Investments Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.2150 to HK$2.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Chinney Investments Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
The market capitalisation of Chinney Investments Ltd is HK$292M (≈ $37.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chinney Investments Ltd is 0.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
Earnings per share at Chinney Investments Ltd are HK$−1.32. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
The dividend yield of Chinney Investments Ltd is 4.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
The net margin of Chinney Investments Ltd is −54.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chinney Investments Ltd is −8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chinney Investments Ltd is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
The operating margin of Chinney Investments Ltd is 44.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
Revenue at Chinney Investments Ltd is growing +38.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chinney Investments Ltd (0216)?
Earnings per share at Chinney Investments Ltd are growing −23.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chinney Investments Ltd (0216) generate?
The free cash flow of Chinney Investments Ltd is HK$458M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chinney Investments Ltd (0216) carry?
The net debt of Chinney Investments Ltd is HK$6.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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