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Shun Tak Holdings Ltd (0242) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$1.5B (≈ $196M) · ISIN HK0242001243

What is Shun Tak Holdings Ltd really worth?

ST Shun Tak Holdings Ltd 0242 · HK
PriceHK$0.5050
Fair ValueHK$1.60
Upside+216.8%
Quality56/100

A solid business, trading 68% below our fair value of HK$1.60.

As of Aug 22, 2026, the fair value of Shun Tak Holdings Ltd is HK$1.60 per share against a price of HK$0.5050, so the fair value sits 217% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -17.3% net margin
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.9700 – HK$2.26

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +1.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.9700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.9700 to HK$2.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.57 HK$0.4650 Fair Value HK$1.60 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4650 – HK$2.57 · fair‑value band HK$0.9700 – HK$2.26 · the HK$0.5050 price screens below the HK$1.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shun Tak Holdings Ltd (0242) currently trades at HK$0.5050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.60, implying the stock looks roughly 68.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$6.86 per share, and 6 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.5050 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$1.68, and 1 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shun Tak Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.8B at a net margin of −17.3%. Revenue declined 51.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −1.4%. Net debt stands at HK$11.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.9700 (bear case) to HK$2.26 (bull case); at HK$0.5050, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at 217%, 0242 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$2.65 HK$4.38 HK$6.55 79
Growth DCF HK$2.76 HK$4.38 HK$6.30 78
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2100 HK$0.9600 HK$1.75 70
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$2.65 HK$4.38 HK$6.55 79
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4700 HK$1.07 69
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2100 HK$0.9600 HK$1.75 70
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.03 HK$1.68 HK$2.36 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.21 HK$1.98 HK$2.80 68
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$5.12 HK$6.86 HK$10.24 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.76 HK$4.38 HK$6.30 78

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$6.86) versus DCF Models (HK$1.68). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.56 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0400
Net margin −19.8% FY2025
Return on equity −1.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 20.3% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$2.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −51.6% 3y avg −11.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −51.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$1.9B FY2025
Net debt HK$11.6B FY2025 · ≈ 6.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shun Tak Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property, transportation, hospitality and leisure, and investment businesses in Hong Kong, Macau, the People's Republic of China, Singapore, and internationally.

Full company description

Shun Tak Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property, transportation, hospitality and leisure, and investment businesses in Hong Kong, Macau, the People's Republic of China, Singapore, and internationally. It develops hotels, commercial, and residential properties; leases and sells retail, office, and residential properties; and offers property and facility management services for residential developments, clubhouses, office towers, shopping malls, and car parks. The company also provides passenger sea and land transportation services across destinations within connecting cities, such as Hong Kong, Macau, Zhuhai, Shenzhen, and Shekou under the TurboJET brand name. In addition, it operates hotels, golf clubs, a cruise terminal, toy stores under the Toys"R'Us brand, and gelato stores under the Stecco Natura Gelaterie name; invests in gaming concessionaires; and provides laundry and dry cleaning services. Further, the company offers MICE services; leasing and financing; management; and hospitality management and auxiliary services. Shun Tak Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shun Tak Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.4B in FY2025 versus HK$4.8B in FY2021, a compound −15.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$478M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.4B
Latest YoY
−50.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
41.7% (2020) → 12.8% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −15.9%/yr
FY21 HK$4.8B
FY22 HK$3.5B
FY23 HK$4.1B
FY24 HK$4.9B
FY25 HK$2.4B
Net income
FY21 HK$962M
FY22 −HK$558M
FY23 −HK$677M
FY24 −HK$824M
FY25 −HK$478M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shun Tak Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0242.HK

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 129 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Revenue growth −52% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.43× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.34× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 50
FUTURE0 · sector 29
PAST0 · sector 17
HEALTH79 · sector 77
DIVIDEND0 · sector 61

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corem Property Group CORED kr 229.00 kr 121.82 −47%
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 124.60 CHF 44.83 −64%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 66.00 THB 71.37 THB +8%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,586 ₹645.21 −59%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,942 ₹701.74 −64%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 17.19 SAR 11.60 SAR −33%
Fastighets AB BALDB kr 54.08 kr 70.70 +31%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.79 ¥0.3300 −88%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,954 CLP 2,740 CLP −31%
Singapore Land Group U06 3.41 SGD 3.23 SGD −5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shun Tak Holdings Ltd (0242) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.60 versus a price of HK$0.5050, about +217% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0242?
Our model-based fair value for Shun Tak Holdings Ltd is HK$1.60 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.5050.
What is the quality score of 0242?
Shun Tak Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shun Tak Holdings Ltd (0242)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.60 (as of Aug 22, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.9700, optimistic scenario HK$2.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shun Tak Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.60, about +217% upside versus a price of HK$0.5050 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.9700, optimistic scenario HK$2.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shun Tak Holdings Ltd (0242)?
Shun Tak Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0242?
The net profit margin of Shun Tak Holdings Ltd is about −17.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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