4325 Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · Market cap 23.7B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −8.9% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14.53 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (7.49 SAR to 14.53 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 14.62 SAR – 24.85 SAR · fair‑value band 7.49 SAR – 14.53 SAR · the 16.39 SAR price screens above the 11.62 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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4325 (4325) currently trades at 16.39 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.62 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 4325 generated revenue of 2.5B SAR at a net margin of 35.0%. Revenue declined 84.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at 7.3B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.49 SAR (bear case) to 14.53 SAR (bull case); at 16.39 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at -29%, 4325 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
4325 reported revenue of 3.0B SAR in FY2025 versus 3.0M SAR in FY2021, a compound +463.3%/yr. Reported net income was 983M SAR in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitsubishi Estate Co MITEY | $24.70 | $13.49 | -45% |
| Mitsui Fudosan Co MTSFF | $9.20 | $13.56 | +47% |
| Henderson Land Development Company HLDVF | $3.70 | $2.53 | -32% |
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 131.60 | CHF 44.83 | -66% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 67.00 THB | 71.37 THB | +7% |
| SM Prime Holdings SPHXF | $0.2801 | $0.4700 | +68% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,381 | ₹972.98 | -30% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,751 | ₹699.95 | -60% |
| Fastighets AB BALDF | $5.42 | $8.19 | +51% |
| NEPI Rockcastle N.V NRP | €7.33 | €10.42 | +42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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