Central Pattana Public Company (CPN) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · TH · Market cap 309B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +1.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (53.53 THB to 129.31 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 39.73 THB – 69.25 THB · fair‑value band 53.53 THB – 129.31 THB · the 68.50 THB price screens below the 71.37 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Central Pattana Public Company (CPN) currently trades at 68.50 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 71.37 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 4.2% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Central Pattana Public Company generated revenue of 55.6B THB at a net margin of 35.2%. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.8%. Net debt stands at 168B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 53.53 THB (bear case) to 129.31 THB (bull case); at 68.50 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 4%, CPN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (184.85 THB) versus Asset-Based (16.40 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Central Pattana Public Company Limited develops and manages real estate properties in Thailand. It constructs, develops, and manages shopping malls, office buildings, hotels, and residential projects for lease. The company also provides utility services in shopping centers, property management consulting, corporate, and food center services.
Full company description
Central Pattana Public Company Limited develops and manages real estate properties in Thailand. It constructs, develops, and manages shopping malls, office buildings, hotels, and residential projects for lease. The company also provides utility services in shopping centers, property management consulting, corporate, and food center services. In addition, it engages in the operation of play lands and water theme parks in shopping centers; investment in real estate; education services; sale of land, houses, and condominium units; and management of a real estate investment trust. Central Pattana Public Company Limited was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Central Pattana Public Company reported revenue of 54.6B THB in FY2025 versus 25.6B THB in FY2021, a compound +20.9%/yr. Reported net income was 18.8B THB in FY2025, compounding +27.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 129.20 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.76 | ¥0.3300 | -88% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
| Catena AB CATE | kr 409.60 | kr 298.00 | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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