Parque Arauco S.A (PARAUCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CL · Market cap 3.4T CLP
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price +4.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3,471 CLP). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 594.90 CLP – 4,415 CLP · fair‑value band 2,078 CLP – 3,471 CLP · the 4,050 CLP price screens above the 2,777 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Parque Arauco S.A (PARAUCO) currently trades at 4,050 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,777 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 31.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Parque Arauco S.A generated revenue of 437B CLP at a net margin of 37.2%. Revenue grew 20.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.0%. Net debt stands at 1.5T CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2,078 CLP (bear case) to 3,471 CLP (bull case); at 4,050 CLP, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -31%, PARAUCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (7,691 CLP) versus Asset-Based (1,163 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Parque Arauco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, develops, owns, operates, and manages multi-format real estate assets in Chile, Peru, and Colombia. The company owns and operates shopping center formats, including regional, neighborhood, outlet malls, and strip malls.
Full company description
Parque Arauco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, develops, owns, operates, and manages multi-format real estate assets in Chile, Peru, and Colombia. The company owns and operates shopping center formats, including regional, neighborhood, outlet malls, and strip malls. Its tenants include department stores, home improvement stores, supermarkets, restaurants, movie theaters, health centers, and smaller stores. It also owns rental apartments, offices, and hotels. The company was formerly known as Cocentral Compañía de Centros Comerciales S.A. and changed its name to Parque Arauco S.A. in 1992. Parque Arauco S.A. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Santiago, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Parque Arauco S.A reported revenue of 384B CLP in FY2025 versus 170B CLP in FY2021, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was 150B CLP in FY2025, compounding +59.0%/yr from FY2021.
PARAUCO screens 31% overvalued. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 129.20 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 68.75 THB | 71.37 THB | +4% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.89 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
| Catena AB CATE | kr 409.60 | kr 298.00 | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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