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Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd (0265) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$398M (≈ $50.7M) · ISIN KYG6777V1106

What is Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd really worth?

OV Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd 0265 · HK
PriceHK$1.32
Fair ValueHK$1.94
Upside+47.0%
Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 32% below our fair value of HK$1.94.

As of Aug 22, 2026, the fair value of Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd is HK$1.94 per share against a price of HK$1.32, so the fair value sits 47% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 19 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 11 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range HK$1.45 – HK$2.42

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −5.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$4.20 HK$0.7900 Fair Value HK$1.94 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.7900 – HK$4.20 · fair‑value band HK$1.45 – HK$2.42 · the HK$1.32 price screens below the HK$1.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd (0265) currently trades at HK$1.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.94, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.23 per share, and 20 of the 25 models we run sit above the HK$1.32 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.8000, and 5 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$339M at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at HK$54.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.45 (bear case) to HK$2.42 (bull case); at HK$1.32, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 47%, 0265 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0341 per share, which is 1.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$1.76 HK$2.21 HK$2.76 82
Growth DCF HK$1.79 HK$2.19 HK$2.68 80
Owner Earnings HK$1.87 HK$2.35 HK$2.95 78
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$1.76 HK$2.21 HK$2.76 82
Owner Earnings HK$1.87 HK$2.35 HK$2.95 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.61 HK$2.12 HK$2.74 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.15 HK$3.09 HK$4.13 76
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.75 HK$2.36 HK$2.97 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.63 HK$2.07 HK$2.60 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.97 HK$2.67 HK$3.53 69
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.74 HK$2.23 HK$2.76 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.6000 HK$1.39 HK$1.79 65
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4400 57
EPV HK$1.75 HK$1.92 HK$2.07 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0600 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.45 HK$1.94 HK$2.42 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.12 HK$1.50 HK$1.87 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.12 HK$1.50 HK$1.87 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.87 HK$3.67 HK$4.47 66
EV/EBITDA HK$2.72 HK$3.47 HK$4.22 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.57 HK$2.04 HK$2.51 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6000 HK$0.8000 HK$1.20 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.79 HK$2.19 HK$2.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.61 HK$2.14 HK$2.71 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.9200 HK$0.9400 HK$0.9500 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.79 HK$2.03 HK$2.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.09 HK$1.56 HK$2.03 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.23) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 22.0 as of Jul 1, 2026
P/S ratio 1.48 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0
Dividend yield 0.5% payout 13.9%
Net margin 6.7% FY2025
Return on equity 4.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 11.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$339M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −4.7% 3y avg +14.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −72.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$38.0M FY2025
Net debt HK$54.7M FY2025 · ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Gangyu Smart Urban Services Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management and leasing services for residential and commercial properties in Mainland China. It operates through four segments: Property Management, Environmental Hygiene, Integrated Development, and Diversified Tourism Products and Services.

Full company description

Gangyu Smart Urban Services Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management and leasing services for residential and commercial properties in Mainland China. It operates through four segments: Property Management, Environmental Hygiene, Integrated Development, and Diversified Tourism Products and Services. The company also offers environmental hygiene services, such as urban road sweeping and street washing, household waste collection and transportation, and rural living environment improvement and village cleaning for urban and rural areas; and develops and operates tourism and cultural attractions, as well as provides marketing, event planning, and consulting services. In addition, it is involved in provision of travel related and other services to corporate clients. The company was formerly known as Orient Victory Smart urban Services Holding Limited and changed its name to Gangyu Smart Urban Services Holding Limited in August 2024. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Admiralty, Hong Kong. Gangyu Smart Urban Services Holding Limited operates as a subsidiary of Orient Victory Real Estate Group Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$339M in FY2025 versus HK$128M in FY2021, a compound +27.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$22.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$339M
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.7%
Value creation/yr (3Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−9.9% · in HKD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−10.4%
Dividend yield0.5%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−31.1% (2020) → 13.6% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop4,050% (2016) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in HKD
Revenue +27.5%/yr
FY21 HK$128M
FY22 HK$227M
FY23 HK$342M
FY24 HK$346M
FY25 HK$339M
Net income
FY21 −HK$22.5M
FY22 HK$29.8M
FY23 HK$33.5M
FY24 HK$30.1M
FY25 HK$22.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0265.HK

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 525 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +47% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Revenue growth −5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE96 · sector 29
FUTURE0 · sector 11
PAST19 · sector 17
HEALTH100 · sector 84
DIVIDEND11 · sector 63

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CBRE Group CBRE $148.74 $69.47 −53%
Vonovia SE VNA €19.85 €36.67 +85%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €27.47 €25.46 −7%
KE Holdings BEKE $17.42 $6.57 −62%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $378.01 $290.25 −23%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.84 HK$5.12 −79%
CoStar Group CSGP $32.22 $4.64 −86%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.84 HK$34.95 −12%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.66 SGD 0.4900 SGD −82%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 4,040 CLP 4,571 CLP +13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd (0265) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.94 versus a price of HK$1.32, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0265?
Our model-based fair value for Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd is HK$1.94 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.32.
What is the quality score of 0265?
Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd (0265)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.94 (as of Aug 22, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.45, optimistic scenario HK$2.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.94, about +47% upside versus a price of HK$1.32 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.45, optimistic scenario HK$2.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd (0265)?
Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$339M (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0265?
The net profit margin of Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Orient Victory China Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.53% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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