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Wuling Motors Holdings (0305) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$1.3B

WM Wuling Motors Holdings 0305 · HK
PriceHK$0.4100
Fair ValueHK$0.4638
Upside+13.1%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.33% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.3726 – HK$0.5778 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.6100 to HK$0.4638 (−24.0%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +7.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from HK$0.3726 (bear) to HK$0.5778 (bull), base HK$0.4638. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.16 HK$0.2787 Fair Value HK$0.4638 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2787 – HK$2.16 · fair‑value band HK$0.3726 – HK$0.5778 · the HK$0.4100 price screens below the HK$0.4638 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Wuling Motors Holdings (0305) currently trades at HK$0.4100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4638, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Wuling Motors Holdings generated revenue of HK$8.3B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. Net debt stands at HK$92.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3726 (bear case) to HK$0.5778 (bull case); at HK$0.4100, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 13%, 0305 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$0.4300 HK$0.4100 HK$0.3400 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.9400 HK$1.04 HK$1.16 72
Gordon GGM HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$1.17 HK$1.82 HK$3.01 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1600 HK$1.14 HK$1.59 54
Lynch FV HK$0.5900 HK$0.8400 HK$1.09 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.5900 HK$0.8400 HK$1.09 46
EPV HK$0.8900 HK$0.9400 HK$0.9700 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.4000 HK$0.5300 HK$0.6600 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5100 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5100 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.18 HK$1.38 HK$1.59 53
EV/EBITDA HK$2.10 HK$2.61 HK$3.12 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.9800 HK$1.16 HK$1.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 HK$0.6200 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.4300 HK$0.4100 HK$0.3400 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.9400 HK$1.04 HK$1.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.7800 HK$1.11 HK$1.45 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.82) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$8.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 5.5%
Free cash flow −HK$275M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.7
More key figures
Operating margin 1.7%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -18.9%
Net debt HK$92.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wuling Motors Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in trading and manufacturing of automotive components, vehicles' power supply systems,engines, and specialized vehicles in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Full company description

Wuling Motors Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in trading and manufacturing of automotive components, vehicles' power supply systems,engines, and specialized vehicles in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Vehicles' Power Supply Systems; Automotive Components and Other Industrial Services; Commercial Vehicles Assembly; and Others segments. It offers specialized vehicles, which includes new energy, specialized vehicles, and non-road vehicles; and powertrain systems including plug-in hybrid electric drive system, range-extender, driving motor, and motor controllers. It also provides a range of auto parts comprising chassis products, such as gear, rear torsion beam and independent suspension assembly, muffler exhaust assembly, three-way catalytic converter package, front and rear sub-frame, micro commercial electric drive bridge, integrated bridge, rear axle final drive, coaxial powertrain, and integral coaxial bridge; and interior and exterior decoration products including front and rear seats, door trim, cockpit assembly, and front and rear bumper assembly. In addition, it offers stamping and welding modules, which include roof and engine hood panels, rear lower body, insulator, side door panels, cargo compartment assembly, pillar thermal expansion fittings, and main bolster; and electronic and electrical systems, such as combination, multifunctional and electric seat switches, new energy electric compressor, compressor assembly, and double-gun AC charging pile. Further, the company provides autonomous driving technology including motor and body control, parking, electronic steering, and a service brake system. It also engages in trading steel; and providing the provision of water and power supply services. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Wuling Motors Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Wuling (Hong Kong) Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wuling Motors Holdings reported revenue of HK$8.3B in FY2025 versus HK$14.4B in FY2021, a compound −13.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$79.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$8.3B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.3%
Revenue −13.0%/yr
FY21 HK$14.4B
FY22 HK$12.6B
FY23 HK$10.5B
FY24 HK$7.9B
FY25 HK$8.3B
Net income
FY21 −HK$24.1M
FY22 HK$22.6M
FY23 HK$23.5M
FY24 HK$50.6M
FY25 HK$79.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −12.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share −11.6 pp

of which total revenue −5.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.6 pp

EBIT margin −3.4 pp
Tax rate +4.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuling Motors Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0305

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +13% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.62× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 16
FUTURE 28 · sector 24
PAST 22 · sector 26
HEALTH 92 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wuling Motors Holdings (0305) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4638 versus a price of HK$0.4100, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0305?
Our model-based fair value for Wuling Motors Holdings is HK$0.4638 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4100.
What is the quality score of 0305?
Wuling Motors Holdings has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wuling Motors Holdings (0305)?
Wuling Motors Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$8.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0305?
The net profit margin of Wuling Motors Holdings is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Wuling Motors Holdings pay a dividend?
Wuling Motors Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.33% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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