CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd (0317) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$16.9B (≈ $2.2B) · ISIN CNE100000395

What is CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd really worth?

CO CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd 0317 · HK

PriceHK$13.35

Fair ValueHK$11.22

Upside−16.0%

Quality44/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 19% above our fair value of HK$11.22.

As of Aug 16, 2026, the fair value of CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd is HK$11.22 per share against a price of HK$13.35, so the fair value sits 16% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.5 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 5.4% net margin

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)

!Narrow moat 25/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 26 out of 100

For context

·1.61% dividend yield

Evidence: Medium Range HK$9.29 – HK$14.03

Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +10.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.75 – HK$18.00 · fair‑value band HK$9.29 – HK$14.03 · the HK$13.35 price screens above the HK$11.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

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Analysis

CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd (0317) currently trades at HK$13.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$11.22, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$22.30 per share, and 3 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$13.35 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$2.35, and 14 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$22.6B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 56.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$9.29 (bear case) to HK$14.03 (bull case); at HK$13.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −16%, 0317 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.4962 per share, which is 4.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

Owner Earnings HK$15.45 HK$22.30 HK$33.40 75

Residual Income HK$9.98 HK$10.14 HK$9.91 75

EPV HK$5.94 HK$6.06 HK$6.17 72

All 17 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings HK$15.45 HK$22.30 HK$33.40 75

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$4.72 HK$18.05 HK$24.44 61

Lynch FV HK$4.39 HK$6.27 HK$8.16 58

PEG = 1.0 HK$4.39 HK$6.27 HK$8.16 55

EPV HK$5.94 HK$6.06 HK$6.17 72

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$1.34 HK$2.79 HK$4.43 64

DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.34 HK$2.35 HK$2.93 64

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$10.94 HK$14.59 HK$18.24 61

P/S Multiple HK$8.86 HK$11.81 HK$14.77 56

P/B Multiple HK$8.86 HK$11.81 HK$14.77 53

EV/EBIT HK$6.58 HK$7.03 HK$7.48 65

EV/EBITDA HK$9.68 HK$11.16 HK$12.64 66

EV/Revenue HK$6.19 HK$6.61 HK$7.02 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$6.45 HK$8.65 HK$12.91 52

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$9.98 HK$10.14 HK$9.91 75

ROIC Compounder HK$5.94 HK$6.06 HK$6.17 71

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$7.99 HK$11.41 HK$14.83 66

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$22.30) versus Dividend Discount (HK$2.35). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.0 as of Jul 1, 2026

P/S ratio 0.59 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$0.9424 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.0

Dividend yield 1.6% payout 22.8%

Net margin 4.9% FY2025

Return on equity 6.6% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% avg 5y

Operating margin 2.0% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$22.6B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +56.1% 3y avg +16.1%

EPS growth (YoY) +115%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow −HK$354M FY2025

Net cash HK$1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 22

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 47

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 12

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 39

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 80

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 33

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 21

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 22

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group) Company Limited manufactures and sells marine and defense equipment in the People's Republic of China, other regions in Asia, Europe, Oceania, North America, South America, and Africa. It operates through Defense Industry, Shipbuilding and Marine Industry, and Emerging Industries segments. The company provides defense equipment products, such as military ships, coast guard equipment, and official ships; marine and offshore products, including feeder container ships, bulk carriers, small and medium-sized gas carriers, dredging ships, and offshore engineering and wind power installation platforms; and energy equipment, high-end steel structures, engineering machinery, and industrial internet platforms. The company was formerly known as Guangzhou Shipyard International Company Limited and changed its name to CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group) Company Limited in June 2015. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 20.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 11.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 982M CNY in FY2025, compounding +87.5%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 52/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

HK$20.0B

Latest YoY

+3.2%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+16.1%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+11.5%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (35Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+11.6%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

≈ −10.5% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in HKD

Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.

Earnings growth per share−12.1%

Dividend yield1.6%

Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −12.1% vs 10Y 25.6%, flattening

Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31.1% (2020) → 0.7% (2025) · falling

Worst earnings drop1,300% (2018) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in HKD

⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 160% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted

Revenue +14.4%/yr

FY21 11.7B CNY

FY22 12.8B CNY

FY23 16.1B CNY

FY24 19.4B CNY

FY25 20.0B CNY

Net income +87.5%/yr

FY21 79.4M CNY

FY22 688M CNY

FY23 48.1M CNY

FY24 377M CNY

FY25 982M CNY

0317 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$11.22 −19%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0317.HK" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">CSSC Offshore &amp; Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$11.22</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−19%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0317.HK

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median

Fair Value upside −56% · Below median

Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median

Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%

Revenue growth 56% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median

Debt / equity 0.12× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/B 0.93× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

EV/EBITDA 15.7× · Cheaper than median

PEG 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE0 · sector 0

FUTURE100 · sector 49

PAST26 · sector 38

HEALTH94 · sector 93

DIVIDEND32 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).

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General Electric Company GE	$335.71	$116.71	−65%
RTX Corporation RTX	$212.08	$88.37	−58%
Airbus SE AIR	€213.00	€117.01	−45%
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Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM	$264.85	$50.43	−81%
General Dynamics Corporation GD	$379.32	$274.32	−28%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC	$545.57	$356.59	−35%
TransDigm Group TDG	$1,235	$571.03	−54%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX	$262.82	$146.55	−44%
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Frequently asked questions

Is CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd (0317) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$11.22 versus a price of HK$13.35, about −16% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 0317?

Our model-based fair value for CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd is HK$11.22 (as of Aug 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$13.35.

What is the quality score of 0317?

CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd (0317)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$11.22 (as of Aug 16, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$9.29, optimistic scenario HK$14.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$11.22, about −16% upside versus a price of HK$13.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$9.29, optimistic scenario HK$14.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd (0317)?

CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$22.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 16, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 0317?

The net profit margin of CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?

CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.61% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 16, 2026).

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