Starlite Holdings (0403) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$76.6M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +27.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.1700 to HK$0.1900), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1410 – HK$0.3636 · fair‑value band HK$0.1700 – HK$0.1900 · the HK$0.1880 price screens above the HK$0.1800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Starlite Holdings (0403) currently trades at HK$0.1880, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1800, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Starlite Holdings generated revenue of HK$782M at a net margin of -13.4%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -19.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$71.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1700 (bear case) to HK$0.1900 (bull case); at HK$0.1880, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -4%, 0403 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.6700) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Starlite Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, prints and manufactures packaging materials, labels, and paper products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Southeast Asia, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
Starlite Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, prints and manufactures packaging materials, labels, and paper products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Southeast Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company offers printing and packaging solutions, including labels; children's and novelty books, and board games; and packaging solutions comprising molded pulp inserts, litho-laminated boxes, hand-assembled rigid and handcrafted gift boxes, and clamshell packages for household appliances, toys and games, greeting cards, consumer electronics, food and beverages, luxury, pharmaceuticals, and personal care products. It also provides APET and luxury packaging from blister packaging, window boxes, metallic foil paperboards, and plastic films; electronic sensory embellishments; e-business services through its e-commerce website; and solutions for technology-based product packaging services, as well as sourcing solutions. In addition, the company offers design solutions, such as packaging, graphic, structural, and product design; and management services. Further, it trades in packaging materials, paper products, environmental friendly paper, and team green products; holds trade and service marks; and engages in publishing and property investment activities. The company serves various industries, such as toys and games, books, greeting cards, cosmetics, and food and wine. Starlite Holdings Limited was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in San Po Kong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Starlite Holdings reported revenue of HK$782M in FY2026 versus HK$1.0B in FY2022, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$105M in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 106.80 | kr 125.82 | +18% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥27.73 | ¥20.16 | -27% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 31.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -48% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 3,350 TWD | 675.50 TWD | -80% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,193 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 134.00 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -5% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹208.56 | ₹161.42 | -23% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹247.30 | ₹111.65 | -55% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 21,650 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +45% |
| PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, PBID | 525.00 IDR | 774.13 IDR | +47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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