South China Holdings (0413) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$338M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0249 to HK$0.0215 (−13.6%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −8.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0200 – HK$0.1220 · fair‑value band HK$0.0204 – HK$0.0237 · the HK$0.0220 price screens above the HK$0.0215 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
South China Holdings (0413) currently trades at HK$0.0220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0215, implying the stock looks roughly 2.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, South China Holdings generated revenue of HK$2.2B at a net margin of -66.5%. Revenue declined 37.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -26.5%. Net debt stands at HK$3.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0204 (bear case) to HK$0.0237 (bull case); at HK$0.0220, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -2%, 0413 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
South China Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trading of toys, property investment and development, and agriculture and forestry businesses. The company's Trading and Manufacturing segment is involved in the manufacturing and trading of merchandises, including footwear and leather products.
Full company description
South China Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trading of toys, property investment and development, and agriculture and forestry businesses. The company's Trading and Manufacturing segment is involved in the manufacturing and trading of merchandises, including footwear and leather products. Its Property Investment and Development segment engages in the property investment and development activities. The company's Agriculture and Forestry segment is involved in the cultivation of fruit trees and crops; rearing of livestock and aquatic products; and forestation and sale of relevant agricultural produce. It also manufactures and trades in electronic products; manufactures and sells leather chemical and sports products. Further, the company is involved in the woods and crops plantation business. It operates in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Europe, Japan, and internationally. The company was formerly known as South China (China) Limited and changed its name to South China Holdings Company Limited in June 2015. South China Holdings Company Limited is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
South China Holdings reported revenue of HK$2.2B in FY2025 versus HK$4.7B in FY2021, a compound −17.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.4B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$72.80 | HK$119.82 | +65% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$151.00 | HK$227.30 | +51% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $33.03 | $16.16 | -51% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $94.89 | $81.97 | -14% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $43.81 | $15.61 | -64% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥44.94 | ¥39.73 | -12% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.59 | HK$29.45 | +102% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 158.70 | kr 96.65 | -39% |
| Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A SMFT3 | R$17.25 | R$22.90 | +33% |
| Songcheng Performance Development Co 300144 | ¥6.17 | ¥6.85 | +11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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