Songcheng Performance Develop (300144) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Songcheng Performance Develop ¥8.85, price ¥5.82, upside +52.1%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.72 – ¥20.67 · fair‑value band ¥6.19 – ¥11.50 · the ¥5.82 price screens below the ¥8.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Songcheng Performance Development Co.,Ltd operates in the cultural tourism and performing arts industry in China. The company operates tourism resorts and theme parks; and performs art shows under Songcheng and the Eternal Love brand names.
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Songcheng Performance Development Co.,Ltd operates in the cultural tourism and performing arts industry in China. The company operates tourism resorts and theme parks; and performs art shows under Songcheng and the Eternal Love brand names. It also engages in the leisure, tourism, live entertainment, and online entertainment, as well as catering services and marketing planning of tourist attractions; and development of tourism resources, tourism planning and design, artistic creation, brand planning of tourist attractions, and brokerage actvities. In addition, the company offers travel service business, including asset-light export business, tourism travel clothing service, and online ticket sales business; and internet information service, using information network to operate music entertainment products, and competition activities. Further, it engages in theme park development and operation; technical consulting in network technology; cultural event planning; and real estate development activities. The company was formerly known as Hangzhou Songcheng Tourism Development Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Songcheng Performance Development Co.,Ltd in April 2014. Songcheng Performance Development Co.,Ltd was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Songcheng Performance Develop (300144) currently trades at ¥5.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.85, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥12.01 per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥5.82 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.15, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥6.19 (bear) to ¥11.50 (bull), the price of ¥5.82 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Songcheng Performance Develop reported revenue of 2.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was 818M CNY in FY2025, compounding +26.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 15.3B CNY (≈ $2.3B) · P/E ratio 19.4 · P/S ratio 7.03 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3000 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 36.2% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at 52%, 300144 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥6.19Fair Value ¥8.85Bull ¥11.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0366 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0% vs 2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−188% → 46%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.5% a year for the price and +4.5% for the forecasts.
Compare Songcheng Performance Develop with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 189 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+52% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)35% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)49% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
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Is Songcheng Performance Develop (300144) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.85 versus a price of ¥5.82, about +52% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300144?
Our model-based fair value for Songcheng Performance Develop is ¥8.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.82.
What is the quality score of 300144?
Songcheng Performance Develop has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.19, optimistic scenario ¥11.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Songcheng Performance Develop stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.85, about +52% upside versus a price of ¥5.82 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.19, optimistic scenario ¥11.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
Songcheng Performance Develop reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Songcheng Performance Develop pay a dividend?
Songcheng Performance Develop currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Songcheng Performance Develop would have to grow free cash flow by -5.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300144 use?
Our models discount Songcheng Performance Develop at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Songcheng Performance Develop that is -5.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Songcheng Performance Develop (300144) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Songcheng Performance Develop grew +20.1 % a year. The price currently implies -5.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Songcheng Performance Develop (-5.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.37 %: that much free cash flow Songcheng Performance Develop produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Songcheng Performance Develop it is ¥8.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥5.82. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Songcheng Performance Develop stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300144 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥5.82, fair value ¥8.85, a gap of about +52% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300144?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.85). For Songcheng Performance Develop the two are ¥3.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Songcheng Performance Develop worth?
The market values Songcheng Performance Develop at about 15.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.82; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300144?
Our models span a range for Songcheng Performance Develop: cautious scenario ¥6.19, base ¥8.85, optimistic ¥11.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥5.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300144?
Songcheng Performance Develop trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 17.0, P/B 1.8, P/S 6.9, EV/EBITDA 10.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 300144?
The PEG ratio of Songcheng Performance Develop is 17.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
Balance-sheet figures for Songcheng Performance Develop (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300144 from its 52-week high?
Songcheng Performance Develop trades at ¥5.82, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥8.97 and 2% above the low of ¥5.72 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Songcheng Performance Develop?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value ANTA Sports Products Limited, Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Songcheng Performance Develop stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥5.82, calculated fair value ¥8.85 (+52%), Quality Score 73/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300144 calculated?
We run Songcheng Performance Develop through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Songcheng Performance Develop currently trades 52 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥5.82. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.85, about +52% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Songcheng Performance Develop right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥6.19). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥6.19 to ¥11.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Songcheng Performance Develop
How large is the market capitalisation of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
The market capitalisation of Songcheng Performance Develop is 15.3B CNY (≈ $2.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Songcheng Performance Develop is 7.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
Earnings per share at Songcheng Performance Develop are ¥0.3000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
The dividend yield of Songcheng Performance Develop is 4.3% (payout 83.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
The net margin of Songcheng Performance Develop is 36.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Songcheng Performance Develop is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Songcheng Performance Develop is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
The operating margin of Songcheng Performance Develop is 48.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
Revenue at Songcheng Performance Develop is growing −5.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +70.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Songcheng Performance Develop (300144)?
Earnings per share at Songcheng Performance Develop are growing −15.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Songcheng Performance Develop (300144) hold?
Songcheng Performance Develop holds more cash than debt, 2.6B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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