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New Universe International Group Ltd (0436) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of New Universe International Group Ltd HK$0.11, price HK$0.05, upside +111.5%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG6493Q1718

NU Thin data Sep 27, 2026

New Universe International Group Ltd

0436 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.1100 · Strongly undervalued (+111.5%)
!Quality 54/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −15.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.8% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 1 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.2982 HK$0.0416 Fair Value HK$0.1100 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0416 – HK$0.2982 · fair‑value band HK$0.0986 – HK$0.1214 · the HK$0.0520 price screens below the HK$0.1100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

New Universe Environmental Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental treatment and disposal services for industrial and medical wastes in the People's Republic of China. It offers environmental treatment services, dangerous chemical tank truck cleansing service, solid waste disposal, and management services.

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New Universe Environmental Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental treatment and disposal services for industrial and medical wastes in the People's Republic of China. It offers environmental treatment services, dangerous chemical tank truck cleansing service, solid waste disposal, and management services. The company is also involved in the operation of industrial solid waste landfill; detoxifying, reduction, and recycling of industrial waste; professional treatment of general industrial waste, hazardous industrial waste, and medical waste; and incineration treatment of general industrial waste and industrial hazardous waste. In addition, it engages in the operation of sewage treatment, recycling of water, recycling of heavy metals from the sludge for the electroplating industry; plating sewage treatment system; sewage liquid neutralization and recycling system; and environmental technical consultancy. The company was formerly known as New Universe International Group Limited and changed its name to New Universe Environmental Group Limited in May 2016. New Universe Environmental Group Limited was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

New Universe International Group Ltd (0436) currently trades at HK$0.0520, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 52.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2600 per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$0.0520 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.0200, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0986 (bear) to HK$0.1214 (bull), the price of HK$0.0520 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

New Universe International Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$349M in FY2025 versus HK$727M in FY2021, a compound −16.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$9.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$158M (≈ $20.1M) · P/S ratio 0.44 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin −2.7% · Return on equity −1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin 6.3% · Revenue (TTM) HK$349M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 112%, 0436 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0986 Fair Value HK$0.1100 Bull HK$0.1214
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3600 81
Growth DCF HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3600 79
Owner Earnings HK$0.2100 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3800 77
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3600 81
Owner Earnings HK$0.2100 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3800 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1500 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2200 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2900 HK$0.4400 HK$0.6300 75
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2400 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2500 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5600 68
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.1100 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1200 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0100 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 67
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.1400 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1800 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3700 HK$0.4600 HK$0.5500 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.1300 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1500 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2900 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3600 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1500 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2200 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1100 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1200 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.1% (2020) → 3.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 162 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +111.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −2.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)1 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)77 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $206.83 $227.51 +10%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $212.10 $128.63 −39%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.56 $171.12 +10%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.36 €20.32 −35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $313.04 $155.54 −50%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.27 $34.54 −18%
Umicore SA UMI €21.40 €25.28 +18%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.72 €7.30 −32%
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $82.24 $14.82 −82%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Universe International Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0436

Frequently asked questions

Is New Universe International Group Ltd (0436) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1100 versus a price of HK$0.0520, about +112% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0436?
Our model-based fair value for New Universe International Group Ltd is HK$0.1100 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0520.
What is the quality score of 0436?
New Universe International Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1100 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0986, optimistic scenario HK$0.1214. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the New Universe International Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1100, about +112% upside versus a price of HK$0.0520 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0986, optimistic scenario HK$0.1214. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
New Universe International Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$349M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does New Universe International Group Ltd pay a dividend?
New Universe International Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, New Universe International Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -15.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0436 use?
Our models discount New Universe International Group Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For New Universe International Group Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has New Universe International Group Ltd (0436) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at New Universe International Group Ltd grew -15.1 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into New Universe International Group Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.85 %: that much free cash flow New Universe International Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New Universe International Group Ltd it is HK$0.1100 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0520. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is New Universe International Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0436 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0520, fair value HK$0.1100, a gap of about +112% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0436?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0520); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1100). For New Universe International Group Ltd the two are HK$0.0580 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New Universe International Group Ltd worth?
The market values New Universe International Group Ltd at about HK$158M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0520; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0436?
Our models span a range for New Universe International Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0986, base HK$0.1100, optimistic HK$0.1214 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0520). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
Balance-sheet figures for New Universe International Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −1.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0436 from its 52-week high?
New Universe International Group Ltd trades at HK$0.0520, about 44% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0928 and 8% above the low of HK$0.0480 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New Universe International Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New Universe International Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0520, calculated fair value HK$0.1100 (+112%), Quality Score 54/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0436 calculated?
We run New Universe International Group Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. New Universe International Group Ltd currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.0520. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1100, about +112% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New Universe International Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0986). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of New Universe International Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
The market capitalisation of New Universe International Group Ltd is HK$158M (≈ $20.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
The price-to-sales ratio of New Universe International Group Ltd is 0.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
The dividend yield of New Universe International Group Ltd is 3.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
The net margin of New Universe International Group Ltd is −2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New Universe International Group Ltd is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New Universe International Group Ltd is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
The operating margin of New Universe International Group Ltd is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
Revenue at New Universe International Group Ltd is growing +0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at New Universe International Group Ltd (0436)?
Earnings per share at New Universe International Group Ltd are growing −48.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does New Universe International Group Ltd (0436) hold?
New Universe International Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$224M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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