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New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd HK$0.10, price HK$0.20, upside -48.7%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · HK · ISIN BMG6479N1011

NS Thin data Sep 27, 2026

New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd

0472 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.1000 · Strongly overvalued (−48.7%)
!Quality 38/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +26.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -72.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 1/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.4000 HK$0.0740 Fair Value HK$0.1000 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0740 – HK$0.4000 · fair‑value band HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1300 · the HK$0.1950 price screens above the HK$0.1000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

New Silkroad Holding Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Real Estate, Integrated Resort and Cultural Tourism; Wine; and Property Management segments. The company develops and operates integrated resorts and cultural tourism in South Korea.

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New Silkroad Holding Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Real Estate, Integrated Resort and Cultural Tourism; Wine; and Property Management segments. The company develops and operates integrated resorts and cultural tourism in South Korea. It also distributes wine in Hong Kong. The company was formerly known as JLF Investment Company Limited and changed its name to New Silkroad Holding Group Limited in July 2015. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. New Silkroad Holding Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Macro-Link International Land Limited.

Stock analysis

New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472) currently trades at HK$0.1950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1000, 48.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0700 (bear) to HK$0.1300 (bull), the price of HK$0.1950 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd reported revenue of HK$375M in FY2025 versus HK$2.6B in FY2021, a compound −38.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$271M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$802M (≈ $102M) · P/S ratio 2.14 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −72.4% · Return on equity −26.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.4% · Operating margin −27.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$375M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −49%, 0472 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0700 Fair Value HK$0.1000 Bull HK$0.1300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1800 HK$0.2500 HK$0.3700 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1800 HK$0.2500 HK$0.3700 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−98.9% (2020) → −87.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

0472 screens overvalued: fair value 49% below the price. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 133 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −48.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −72.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −27.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)38 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 74
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 124.50 CHF 44.83 −64%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 63.00 THB 71.37 THB +13%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,978 ₹405.25 −80%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,478 ₹297.85 −80%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 17.15 SAR 15.41 SAR −10%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.69 ¥0.7900 −71%
Allreal Holding ALLN CHF 193.00 CHF 84.23 −56%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,670 CLP 3,708 CLP +1%
The St. Joe Company JOE $65.30 $34.53 −47%
Singapore Land Group U06 3.14 SGD 3.18 SGD +1%

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New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.1000 −49%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0472

Frequently asked questions

Is New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1000 versus a price of HK$0.1950, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0472?
Our model-based fair value for New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd is HK$0.1000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1950.
What is the quality score of 0472?
New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0700, optimistic scenario HK$0.1300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1000, about −49% upside versus a price of HK$0.1950 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0700, optimistic scenario HK$0.1300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$375M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd it is HK$0.1000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1950. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0472 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1950, fair value HK$0.1000, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0472?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1950); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1000). For New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd the two are HK$0.0950 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd worth?
The market values New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd at about HK$802M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1950; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0472?
Our models span a range for New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0700, base HK$0.1000, optimistic HK$0.1300 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1950). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
Balance-sheet figures for New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −26.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0472 from its 52-week high?
New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd trades at HK$0.1950, about 51% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4000 and 22% above the low of HK$0.1600 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1950, calculated fair value HK$0.1000 (−49%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0472 calculated?
We run New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.1950. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1000, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0700 to HK$0.1300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
The market capitalisation of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd is HK$802M (≈ $102M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
The price-to-sales ratio of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd is 2.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
Earnings per share at New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
The net margin of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd is −72.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd is −26.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd is −7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
The operating margin of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd is −27.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472)?
Revenue at New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd is growing +7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472) generate?
The free cash flow of New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd is −HK$25.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd (0472) hold?
New Silkroad Culturaltainment Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$258M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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