China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd stock HK$0.27, price HK$0.26, upside +6.7%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?No
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0750 – HK$2.18 · fair‑value band HK$0.2465 – HK$0.2890 · the HK$0.2550 price screens below the HK$0.2720 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Follow China Sinostar Group Co in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether China Sinostar Group Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
China Sinostar Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sale of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Properties Development, Properties Investment, Properties Management, and Hydroelectric Power Business segments.
Show moreShow less
It is also involved in the operation and management of hydroelectric power stations; and property investment and management businesses. The company was formerly known as Shihua Development Company Limited and changed its name to China Sinostar Group Company Limited in October 2016.
China Sinostar Group Company Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong. China Sinostar Group Company Limited is a subsidiary of Achieve Prosper Capital Limited.
Stock analysis
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) currently trades at HK$0.2550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2720, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.3%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.3200 per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.2550 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.0800, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2465 (bear) to HK$0.2890 (bull), the price of HK$0.2550 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$18.8M in FY2026 versus HK$38.9M in FY2022, a compound −16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$13.0M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$65.0M (≈ $8.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 4.61 · Net margin −69.4% · Return on equity −7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.7% · Operating margin −196% · Revenue (TTM) HK$18.8M · Revenue growth (YoY) −22.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 7%, 0485 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.2465Fair Value HK$0.2720BullHK$0.2890
Price HK$0.2550 · Upside +6.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFHK$0.3600HK$0.4400HK$0.590082
Growth DCFHK$0.3700HK$0.4500HK$0.580080
5Y Revenue ExitHK$0.2400HK$0.2700HK$0.320074
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFHK$0.3600HK$0.4400HK$0.590082
5Y Revenue ExitHK$0.2400HK$0.2700HK$0.320074
10Y Revenue ExitHK$0.2900HK$0.3200HK$0.340068
Multiples
EV/RevenueHK$0.0500HK$0.0800HK$0.110053
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)HK$0.1200HK$0.1900HK$0.240054
Growth DCF
Growth DCFHK$0.3700HK$0.4500HK$0.580080
Rev-Margin DCFHK$0.2400HK$0.2800HK$0.330074
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −26.8% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.1%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−30.8% (2021) → −36.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.5% a year for the price.
Compare China Sinostar Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Above median
Fair Value upside+6.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−5.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−69.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−196.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−22.9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Sinostar Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0485
Frequently asked questions
Is China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2720 versus a price of HK$0.2550, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0485?
Our model-based fair value for China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is HK$0.2720 (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2550.
What is the quality score of 0485?
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2720 (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2465, optimistic scenario HK$0.2890. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Sinostar Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2720, about +7% upside versus a price of HK$0.2550 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2465, optimistic scenario HK$0.2890. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$18.8M (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Sinostar Group Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +2.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -8.6 % per year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0485 use?
Our models discount China Sinostar Group Co Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Sinostar Group Co Ltd that is +2.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Sinostar Group Co Ltd grew -8.6 % a year. The price currently implies +2.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (+2.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.95 %: that much free cash flow China Sinostar Group Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Sinostar Group Co Ltd it is HK$0.2720 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2550. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Sinostar Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, 0485 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2550, fair value HK$0.2720, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0485?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2720). For China Sinostar Group Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0170 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Sinostar Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Sinostar Group Co Ltd at about HK$65.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2550; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2720 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0485?
Our models span a range for China Sinostar Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2465, base HK$0.2720, optimistic HK$0.2890 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price HK$0.2550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0485?
The PEG ratio of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is 0.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity −7.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0485 from its 52-week high?
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd trades at HK$0.2550, about 48% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4900 and at the low of HK$0.2550 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2720 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Sinostar Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Sinostar Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price HK$0.2550, calculated fair value HK$0.2720 (+7%), Quality Score 47/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0485 calculated?
We run China Sinostar Group Co Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2720, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. China Sinostar Group Co Ltd currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was HK$0.2550. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2720, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Sinostar Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The market capitalisation of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is HK$65.0M (≈ $8.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is 4.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The net margin of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is −69.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is −7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is −5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The operating margin of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is −196% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
Revenue at China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is growing −22.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) carry?
The net debt of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is HK$2.1M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch China Sinostar Group Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts China Sinostar Group Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 24, 2026