China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0750 – HK$2.70 · fair‑value band HK$0.1200 – HK$0.1700 · the HK$0.3700 price screens above the HK$0.1400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
China Sinostar Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sale of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Properties Development, Properties Investment, Properties Management, and Hydroelectric Power Business segments.
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China Sinostar Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sale of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Properties Development, Properties Investment, Properties Management, and Hydroelectric Power Business segments. It is also involved in the operation and management of hydroelectric power stations; and property investment and management businesses. The company was formerly known as Shihua Development Company Limited and changed its name to China Sinostar Group Company Limited in October 2016. China Sinostar Group Company Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong. China Sinostar Group Company Limited is a subsidiary of Achieve Prosper Capital Limited.
Stock analysis
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) currently trades at HK$0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1400, implying the stock looks roughly 164.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4500 per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$0.3700 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.1200, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1200 (bear) to HK$0.1700 (bull), the price of HK$0.3700 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$19.9M in FY2025 versus HK$29.5M in FY2021, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$24.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$101M (≈ $12.8M) · P/S ratio 5.04 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1000 · Net margin −123% · Return on equity −11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.7% · Operating margin 5.5% · Revenue (TTM) HK$20.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 147% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at −62%, 0485 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1200Fair Value HK$0.1400Bull HK$0.1700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−37.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.5%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.4% (2020) → −72.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare China Sinostar Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 576 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−108% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF3.2× · Pricier than median
PEG0.83× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)4· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 52
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Sinostar Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0485
Frequently asked questions
Is China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1400 versus a price of HK$0.3700, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0485?
Our model-based fair value for China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is HK$0.1400 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3700.
What is the quality score of 0485?
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1400 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1200, optimistic scenario HK$0.1700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Sinostar Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1400, about −62% upside versus a price of HK$0.3700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1200, optimistic scenario HK$0.1700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$20.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Sinostar Group Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +14.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -22.5 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0485 use?
Our models discount China Sinostar Group Co Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Sinostar Group Co Ltd that is +14.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Sinostar Group Co Ltd grew -22.5 % a year. The price currently implies +14.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (+14.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.10 %: that much free cash flow China Sinostar Group Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Sinostar Group Co Ltd it is HK$0.1400 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3700. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Sinostar Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 0485 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3700, fair value HK$0.1400, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0485?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1400). For China Sinostar Group Co Ltd the two are HK$0.2300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Sinostar Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Sinostar Group Co Ltd at about HK$101M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3700; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0485?
Our models span a range for China Sinostar Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1200, base HK$0.1400, optimistic HK$0.1700 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$0.3700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0485?
The PEG ratio of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is 0.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −11.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0485 from its 52-week high?
China Sinostar Group Co Ltd trades at HK$0.3700, about 33% below its 52-week high of HK$0.5500 and 147% above the low of HK$0.1500 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Sinostar Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Sinostar Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$0.3700, calculated fair value HK$0.1400 (−62%), Quality Score 54/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0485 calculated?
We run China Sinostar Group Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. China Sinostar Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with China Sinostar Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The market capitalisation of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is HK$101M (≈ $12.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is 5.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
Earnings per share at China Sinostar Group Co Ltd are HK$−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The net margin of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is −123% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is −11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is −5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
The operating margin of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485)?
Revenue at China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is growing +0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does China Sinostar Group Co Ltd (0485) carry?
The net debt of China Sinostar Group Co Ltd is HK$20.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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