GOME Retail Holdings (0493) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$715M
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.0100 to HK$0.0099 (−0.9%) since Jul 2, 2026.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0096 to HK$0.0102), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0100 – HK$2.38 · fair‑value band HK$0.0096 – HK$0.0102 · the HK$0.0100 price screens above the HK$0.0099 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
GOME Retail Holdings (0493) currently trades at HK$0.0100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0099, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$538M. Revenue declined 20.8% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$23.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0096 (bear case) to HK$0.0102 (bull case); at HK$0.0100, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -1%, 0493 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GOME Retail Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages retail stores and online sales network in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
GOME Retail Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages retail stores and online sales network in the People's Republic of China. It engages in retailing and online retailing of electrical appliances, consumer electronic products, liquor products and general merchandise, as well as the provision of franchise and management services and commission-based services to franchised stores. The company also sells its products online through self-operated and platform models. In addition, it is involved in the provision of logistics and procurement, storage and delivery, IT development, and business management services; retail of mobile phones and accessories; and property holding activities, as well as the trading of liquor. The company was formerly known as GOME Electrical Appliances Holding Limited and changed its name to GOME Retail Holdings Limited in 2017. GOME Retail Holdings Limited was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GOME Retail Holdings reported revenue of HK$538M in FY2025 versus HK$46.5B in FY2021, a compound −67.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$5.9B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 222 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$93.19 | C$75.00 | -20% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $839.03 | $398.90 | -52% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $245.15 | $162.63 | -34% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $531.89 | $475.40 | -11% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $202.66 | $181.10 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.00 | $108.04 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $36.43 | $35.52 | -2% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $544.22 | $423.35 | -22% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 109.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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