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Paladin Limited (0495) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$19.7M

PL Paladin Limited 0495 · HK
PriceHK$0.0120
Fair ValueHK$0.0085
Upside-29.2%
Quality36/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 1/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0101 – HK$0.0112 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0112). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0101 to HK$0.0112), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.1950 HK$0.0120 Fair Value HK$0.0085 Mar 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0120 – HK$0.1950 · fair‑value band HK$0.0101 – HK$0.0112 · the HK$0.0120 price screens above the HK$0.0085 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Paladin Limited (0495) currently trades at HK$0.0120, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 29.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$37.6M. Revenue declined 29.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.6%. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0101 (bear case) to HK$0.0112 (bull case); at HK$0.0120, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -29%, 0495 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1300 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2600 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1300 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2600 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$37.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -29.4%
Return on equity -29.6%
Free cash flow −HK$6.1M FY2025
Operating margin -78.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0700
More key figures
Net debt HK$224K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 24
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Paladin Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property investment, and research and development of high technology system and applications in Hong Kong, Finland, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Property investment and Research and development. The company invests in and leases properties.

Full company description

Paladin Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property investment, and research and development of high technology system and applications in Hong Kong, Finland, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Property investment and Research and development. The company invests in and leases properties. It also engages in the development of battery-operated portable x-ray imaging systems used in inspection devices for security and counter-intelligence applications in the areas of baggage scanning, border control and customs, detection of explosive devices, forensic investigation, and security at large scale sporting and other events. In addition, the company develops technology applications, including imaging, surveillance, navigation, and semiconductor processing. Further, it manufactures and sells algorithm and software solutions, image sensors, and provides autonomous mobile robotic solutions and related services. The company was formerly known as Paladin International Limited. Paladin Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Paladin Limited reported revenue of HK$44.4M in FY2025 versus HK$18.3M in FY2021, a compound +24.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$145M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$44.4M
Latest YoY
+95.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Revenue +24.9%/yr
FY21 HK$18.3M
FY22 HK$28.8M
FY23 HK$18.4M
FY24 HK$22.7M
FY25 HK$44.4M
Net income
FY21 −HK$44.5M
FY22 −HK$81.8M
FY23 −HK$37.2M
FY24 −HK$130M
FY25 −HK$145M

0495 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Plaza S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Paladin Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0495

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -78% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -29% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 34
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 98 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 59

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,989 CLP 4,571 CLP +15%
PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk SUPR 43,850 IDR 15,049 IDR -66%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,412 CLP 2,976 CLP +23%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 392.00 IDR 1,012 IDR +158%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 22,000 IDR 19,160 IDR -13%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,610 IDR 3,464 IDR -4%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 2,990 ARS +20%
PT Plaza Indonesia Realty Tbk PLIN 2,510 IDR 2,698 IDR +7%
PT MNC Tourism Indonesia Tbk, KPIG 74.00 IDR 122.12 IDR +65%
PT Indonesian Paradise Property Tbk INPP 770.00 IDR 291.52 IDR -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Paladin Limited (0495) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0085 versus a price of HK$0.0120, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0495?
Our model-based fair value for Paladin Limited is HK$0.0085 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0120.
What is the quality score of 0495?
Paladin Limited has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Paladin Limited (0495)?
Paladin Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$37.6M (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0495?
The net profit margin of Paladin Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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