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CSI Properties Limited (0497) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$2.4B

CP CSI Properties Limited 0497 · HK
PriceHK$0.1790
Fair ValueHK$0.1360
Upside-24.0%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0935 – HK$0.1785 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −6.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0935 to HK$0.1785) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4454 HK$0.0700 Fair Value HK$0.1360 Jul 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0700 – HK$0.4454 · fair‑value band HK$0.0935 – HK$0.1785 · the HK$0.1790 price screens above the HK$0.1360 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CSI Properties Limited (0497) currently trades at HK$0.1790, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1360, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$502M. Revenue declined 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.5%. Net debt stands at HK$518M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0935 (bear case) to HK$0.1785 (bull case); at HK$0.1790, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -24%, 0497 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0900 HK$0.4600 HK$1.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.2000 74
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.5000 HK$0.6700 HK$0.9900 50
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.1100 HK$0.3900 HK$1.13 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0100 HK$0.1900 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.0800 HK$0.3200 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1100 HK$0.3000 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1700 HK$0.4700 37
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.5000 HK$0.6700 HK$0.9900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0900 HK$0.4600 HK$1.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.2000 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.6700) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$502M
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.2%
Net margin -268%
Return on equity -10.5%
Free cash flow HK$359M FY2025
Operating margin -88.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.2200
EPS growth (YoY) -6.1%
Net debt HK$518M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 93
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CSI Properties Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, leasing, and investment activities in Hong Kong, Macau, and China. It operates through four segments: Commercial Property Holding, Residential Property Holding, Macau Property Holding, and Securities Investment.

Full company description

CSI Properties Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, leasing, and investment activities in Hong Kong, Macau, and China. It operates through four segments: Commercial Property Holding, Residential Property Holding, Macau Property Holding, and Securities Investment. The company is involved in the investment and trading of commercial and residential properties and properties, as well as securities trading and investment activities. It also offers treasury management; management; property holding and leasing; and property management services, as well as issues bonds and sells securities. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

CSI Properties Limited reported revenue of HK$1.6B in FY2026 versus HK$703M in FY2022, a compound +23.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$825M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$1.6B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Revenue +23.1%/yr
FY22 HK$703M
FY23 HK$1.3B
FY24 HK$1.6B
FY25 HK$521M
FY26 HK$1.6B
Net income
FY22 HK$1.2B
FY23 HK$370M
FY24 −HK$426M
FY25 −HK$1.7B
FY26 −HK$825M

0497 screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Plaza S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CSI Properties Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0497

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −24% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -89% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.45× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.61× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 1 · sector 34
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 77 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 59

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,989 CLP 4,571 CLP +15%
PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk SUPR 43,850 IDR 15,049 IDR -66%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,412 CLP 2,976 CLP +23%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 392.00 IDR 1,012 IDR +158%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 22,000 IDR 19,160 IDR -13%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,610 IDR 3,464 IDR -4%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 2,990 ARS +20%
PT Plaza Indonesia Realty Tbk PLIN 2,510 IDR 2,698 IDR +7%
PT MNC Tourism Indonesia Tbk, KPIG 74.00 IDR 122.12 IDR +65%
PT Indonesian Paradise Property Tbk INPP 770.00 IDR 291.52 IDR -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CSI Properties Limited (0497) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1360 versus a price of HK$0.1790, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0497?
Our model-based fair value for CSI Properties Limited is HK$0.1360 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1790.
What is the quality score of 0497?
CSI Properties Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CSI Properties Limited (0497)?
CSI Properties Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$502M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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