Frontier Services Group (0500) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$142M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0360 to HK$0.0358 (−0.5%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +3.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0422). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0510 – HK$0.9900 · fair‑value band HK$0.0294 – HK$0.0422 · the HK$0.0680 price screens above the HK$0.0358 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Frontier Services Group (0500) currently trades at HK$0.0680, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0358, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Frontier Services Group generated revenue of HK$651M at a net margin of -31.4%. Revenue declined 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -66.0%. Net debt stands at HK$29.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0294 (bear case) to HK$0.0422 (bull case); at HK$0.0680, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -47%, 0500 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.0200) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Frontier Services Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides security, insurance, aviation, logistics, and infrastructure-related services in China, Hong Kong, Kenya, Nigeria, Laos, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and internationally.
Full company description
Frontier Services Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides security, insurance, aviation, logistics, and infrastructure-related services in China, Hong Kong, Kenya, Nigeria, Laos, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and internationally. The company offers protective services, including threat and risk assessments, executive/close protection, safety implementation, strategy and policy development, and physical and technical, IT, and aviation security, as well as specialized training services; and finance, liability, property, and personnel insurance programs, as well as special insurance solutions, such as medical and emergency evacuation, repatriation, kidnap and ransom response, and crisis management. It also provides aviation services; engineering project logistics services and transportation of valuables; and infrastructure solutions comprising project planning, business consulting, investment and financing, engineering design, project implementation and operation, and support services. In addition, the company engages in aircraft holding; consultancy services; and investment management. It serves the oil and gas, mining, finance, energy, and infrastructure industries, as well as international organizations. The company was formerly known as DVN (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Frontier Services Group Limited in March 2014. Frontier Services Group Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Frontier Services Group reported revenue of HK$651M in FY2025 versus HK$756M in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$204M in FY2025.
0500 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 385 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 | 7.20 THB | 14.40 THB | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,860 IDR | 9,720 IDR | +100% |
| Koç Holding KCHOL | 205.80 TRY | 182.26 TRY | -11% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,585 | ₹859.71 | -67% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,030 CLP | 10,809 CLP | +79% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 54,300 KRW | 71,119 KRW | +31% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,839 | ₹723.80 | -75% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 436,000 KRW | 93,413 KRW | -79% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,002 | ₹1,343 | -66% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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