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Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Hans Energy Co Ltd HK$0.39, price HK$0.20, upside +100.0%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG4382G1073

HE Thin data Sep 29, 2026

Hans Energy Co Ltd

0554 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$0.3940 · Strongly undervalued (+100.0%)
!Quality 39/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +23.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.2% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.4888 HK$0.1034 Fair Value HK$0.3940 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1034 – HK$0.4888 · fair‑value band HK$0.2330 – HK$0.6450 · the HK$0.1970 price screens below the HK$0.3940 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Hans Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides jetties, storage tanks, warehousing, and logistic services for petroleum and liquid chemical products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Terminal Storage; Trading; Transportation, Media and Advertising; and Other.

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Hans Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides jetties, storage tanks, warehousing, and logistic services for petroleum and liquid chemical products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Terminal Storage; Trading; Transportation, Media and Advertising; and Other. It offers terminal, storage, and transshipment services; public transportation, media, and advertising services. The company also engages in trading of oil and petrochemical products, as well as leasing and operation of a filling station. In addition, it provides various value-added services in its ports and storage tank farms; franchised and non-franchised bus services; bus, coach, and travel-related services; and media services, as well as offers administrative services. The company was formerly known as Hans Energy Company Limited and changed its name to Hans Group Holdings Limited in November 2024. Hans Group Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Hans Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Vand Petro-Chemicals (BVI) Company Limited.

Stock analysis

Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554) currently trades at HK$0.1970, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3940, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.84 per share, and 3 of the 4 models we run sit above the HK$0.1970 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1400, and 1 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2330 (bear) to HK$0.6450 (bull), the price of HK$0.1970 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Hans Energy Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$7.2B in FY2025 versus HK$2.0B in FY2021, a compound +38.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$162M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$833M (≈ $106M) · P/S ratio 0.12 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin −2.2% · Return on equity −10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% · Operating margin 1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 100%, 0554 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2330 Fair Value HK$0.3940 Bull HK$0.6450
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$2.36 HK$4.10 HK$6.82 76
Owner Earnings HK$1.21 HK$2.84 HK$5.69 71
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.8600 HK$1.37 HK$2.46 70
All 4 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$1.21 HK$2.84 HK$5.69 71
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2100 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.36 HK$4.10 HK$6.82 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.8600 HK$1.37 HK$2.46 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 37
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+103.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+118.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +41.6% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.5% (2020) → 1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 375 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +100.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −2.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 32.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.08× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.12× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.44× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)46 · sector 42

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Hans Energy Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.3940 +50%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hans Energy Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0554

Frequently asked questions

Is Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3940 versus a price of HK$0.1970, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0554?
Our model-based fair value for Hans Energy Co Ltd is HK$0.3940 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1970.
What is the quality score of 0554?
Hans Energy Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3940 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2330, optimistic scenario HK$0.6450. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hans Energy Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3940, about +100% upside versus a price of HK$0.1970 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2330, optimistic scenario HK$0.6450. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
Hans Energy Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$7.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Hans Energy Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hans Energy Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.32% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hans Energy Co Ltd it is HK$0.3940 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1970. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hans Energy Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0554 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1970, fair value HK$0.3940, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0554?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1970); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3940). For Hans Energy Co Ltd the two are HK$0.1970 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hans Energy Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hans Energy Co Ltd at about HK$833M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1970; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3940 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0554?
Our models span a range for Hans Energy Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2330, base HK$0.3940, optimistic HK$0.6450 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price HK$0.1970). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0554?
The PEG ratio of Hans Energy Co Ltd is 0.44 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hans Energy Co Ltd (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity −10.6%, debt of 3.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0554 from its 52-week high?
Hans Energy Co Ltd trades at HK$0.1970, about 30% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2800 and 8% above the low of HK$0.1830 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3940 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hans Energy Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hans Energy Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price HK$0.1970, calculated fair value HK$0.3940 (+100%), Quality Score 39/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0554 calculated?
We run Hans Energy Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3940, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Hans Energy Co Ltd currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.1970. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3940, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hans Energy Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2330). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.2330 to HK$0.6450). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Hans Energy Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
The market capitalisation of Hans Energy Co Ltd is HK$833M (≈ $106M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hans Energy Co Ltd is 0.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
Earnings per share at Hans Energy Co Ltd are HK$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
The dividend yield of Hans Energy Co Ltd is 2.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
The net margin of Hans Energy Co Ltd is −2.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hans Energy Co Ltd is −10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hans Energy Co Ltd is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
The operating margin of Hans Energy Co Ltd is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
Revenue at Hans Energy Co Ltd is growing +32.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +118%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554)?
Earnings per share at Hans Energy Co Ltd are growing −22.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554) generate?
The free cash flow of Hans Energy Co Ltd is HK$848M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hans Energy Co Ltd (0554) carry?
The net debt of Hans Energy Co Ltd is HK$3.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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