Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group (0563) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$1.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1455 to HK$0.1448 (−0.5%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2162). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1086 to HK$0.2162) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2220 – HK$0.7164 · fair‑value band HK$0.1086 – HK$0.2162 · the HK$0.2300 price screens above the HK$0.1448 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group (0563) currently trades at HK$0.2300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1448, implying the stock looks roughly 37.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group generated revenue of HK$3.7B at a net margin of -26.2%. Revenue declined 80.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.7%. Net debt stands at HK$14.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1086 (bear case) to HK$0.2162 (bull case); at HK$0.2300, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -37%, 0563 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when 0563 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in residential and commercial properties development, property investment, and hotel operations in the People's Republic of China. It also engages in property management services.
Full company description
Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in residential and commercial properties development, property investment, and hotel operations in the People's Republic of China. It also engages in property management services. In addition, the company leases various commercial and residential properties, such as offices, shopping malls, stores, marts, exhibition halls, car park units, and service/long-term rental apartments. Its real estate projects are located in Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, Wuxi, Shenyang, Xi'an, Chongqing, Yantai, Wuhan, and Shenzhen. The company was formerly known as Neo-China Land Group (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group Limited in September 2010. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group reported revenue of HK$3.7B in FY2025 versus HK$11.0B in FY2021, a compound −24.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$962M in FY2025.
0563 screens 37% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 593 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹661.75 | ₹146.13 | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,209 | ₹583.43 | -52% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,488 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 73.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +15% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH | 18,150 VND | 20,338 VND | +12% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
Compare Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Real Estate stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group (0563) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 0563?
What is the quality score of 0563?
What is the revenue of Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group (0563)?
What is the net profit margin of 0563?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.