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China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited HK$0.35, price HK$0.23, upside +53.5%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG2124M1015

CC Thin data Sep 27, 2026

China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited

0587 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$0.3500 · Strongly undervalued (+53.5%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -13.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range HK$0.2200 to HK$1.00
!Weak on balance sheet: 28 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$9.84 HK$0.2170 Fair Value HK$0.3500 Mar 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range HK$0.2170 – HK$9.84 · fair‑value band HK$0.2200 – HK$1.00 · the HK$0.2280 price screens below the HK$0.3500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides treatment solutions for industrial solid and hazardous waste utilizing cement kiln waste treatment technologies in the People's Republic of China.

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China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides treatment solutions for industrial solid and hazardous waste utilizing cement kiln waste treatment technologies in the People's Republic of China. It provides logistic services for solid and hazardous waste; and resource recycling and technical consultation services. China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Wuhu City, China.

Stock analysis

China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587) currently trades at HK$0.2280, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3500, implying the stock looks roughly 34.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$1.17 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the HK$0.2280 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$0.1700, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2200 (bear) to HK$1.00 (bull), the price of HK$0.2280 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was −223M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$539M (≈ $68.7M) · P/S ratio 0.33 · Dividend yield 9.5% · Net margin −13.9% · Return on equity −10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% · Operating margin −23.2% · Revenue (TTM) 1.6B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 54%, 0587 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2200 Fair Value HK$0.3500 Bull HK$1.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF n/a HK$0.7900 HK$1.85 74
Growth DCF n/a HK$0.6700 HK$1.53 73
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a HK$0.2700 >HK$1.08 69
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a HK$0.7900 HK$1.85 74
5Y Revenue Exit n/a HK$0.1400 >HK$0.5600 67
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a HK$0.2700 >HK$1.08 69
10Y Revenue Exit n/a HK$0.2500 >HK$1.00 62
10Y EBITDA Exit n/a HK$0.3300 HK$1.15 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.2300 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5000 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2300 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4100 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a HK$0.3500 62
EV/Revenue n/a n/a HK$0.2100 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8700 HK$1.17 HK$1.74 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a HK$0.6700 HK$1.53 73
Rev-Margin DCF n/a HK$0.1700 >HK$0.6800 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
50.3% (2020) → −9.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 164 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +53.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −13.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −23.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.44× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 14.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)28 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $206.83 $227.51 +10%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $211.92 $128.63 −39%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.56 $171.12 +10%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.36 €20.32 −35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $313.04 $155.54 −50%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.27 $34.54 −18%
Umicore SA UMI €21.40 €25.28 +18%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.72 €7.30 −32%
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $82.24 $14.82 −82%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0587

Frequently asked questions

Is China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3500 versus a price of HK$0.2280, about +54% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0587?
Our model-based fair value for China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is HK$0.3500 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2280.
What is the quality score of 0587?
China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3500 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2200, optimistic scenario HK$1.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3500, about +54% upside versus a price of HK$0.2280 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2200, optimistic scenario HK$1.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited pay a dividend?
China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.53% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited it is HK$0.3500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2280. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0587 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2280, fair value HK$0.3500, a gap of about +54% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0587?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2280); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3500). For China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited the two are HK$0.1220 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited worth?
The market values China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited at about HK$539M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2280; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0587?
Our models span a range for China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited: cautious scenario HK$0.2200, base HK$0.3500, optimistic HK$1.00 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2280). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −10.0%, debt of 1.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0587 from its 52-week high?
China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited trades at HK$0.2280, about 64% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6400 and 5% above the low of HK$0.2170 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2280, calculated fair value HK$0.3500 (+54%), Quality Score 39/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0587 calculated?
We run China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2280. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3500, about +54% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.2200 to HK$1.00). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
The market capitalisation of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is HK$539M (≈ $68.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
The dividend yield of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is 9.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
The net margin of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is −13.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is −10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
The operating margin of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is −23.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
Revenue at China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is growing −2.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587)?
Earnings per share at China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited are growing −94.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587) generate?
The free cash flow of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is 317M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587) carry?
The net debt of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited is 4.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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