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China Conch Environment Protection Holdings (0587) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$539M

CC China Conch Environment Protection Holdings 0587 · HK
PriceHK$0.2700
Fair ValueHK$0.1200
Upside-55.6%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -13.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.1200 – HK$0.4800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −15.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1200 to HK$0.4800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

HK$9.84 HK$0.2650 Fair Value HK$0.1200 Mar 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range HK$0.2650 – HK$9.84 · fair‑value band HK$0.1200 – HK$0.4800 · the HK$0.2700 price screens above the HK$0.1200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Conch Environment Protection Holdings (0587) currently trades at HK$0.2700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1200, implying the stock looks roughly 55.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, China Conch Environment Protection Holdings generated revenue of HK$1.6B at a net margin of -13.9%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.0%. Net debt stands at HK$4.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1200 (bear case) to HK$0.4800 (bull case); at HK$0.2700, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -56%, 0587 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$1.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0500 HK$0.8000 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.2200 HK$0.3900 HK$0.5400 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.5100 HK$1.50 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0400 HK$0.8200 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1600 HK$0.9400 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0900 HK$0.8300 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1600 HK$0.9200 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.2200 HK$0.3900 HK$0.5400 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2200 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4200 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3000 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.1800 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7400 HK$1.00 HK$1.49 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$1.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0500 HK$0.8000 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.00) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.2%
Net margin -13.9%
Return on equity -10.0%
Free cash flow HK$317M FY2025
Operating margin -23.2%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -94.7%
Net debt HK$4.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides treatment solutions for industrial solid and hazardous waste utilizing cement kiln waste treatment technologies in the People's Republic of China. It provides logistic services for solid and hazardous waste; and resource recycling and technical consultation services.

Full company description

China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides treatment solutions for industrial solid and hazardous waste utilizing cement kiln waste treatment technologies in the People's Republic of China. It provides logistic services for solid and hazardous waste; and resource recycling and technical consultation services. China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Wuhu City, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Conch Environment Protection Holdings reported revenue of HK$1.6B in FY2025 versus HK$1.7B in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$223M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.6B
Latest YoY
−5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.0%
Revenue −1.5%/yr
FY21 HK$1.7B
FY22 HK$1.7B
FY23 HK$1.9B
FY24 HK$1.7B
FY25 HK$1.6B
Net income
FY21 HK$579M
FY22 HK$329M
FY23 HK$264M
FY24 HK$6.3M
FY25 −HK$223M

0587 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0587

Peer Group

Waste Management · 168 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −56% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.44× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 25
HEALTH 28 · sector 81
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $226.32 $128.02 -43%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $215.08 $120.63 -44%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$230.52 C$78.67 -66%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €34.47 €23.26 -33%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $316.65 $154.01 -51%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$57.56 C$44.27 -23%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.75 ¥5.27 -22%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥15.68 ¥20.95 +34%
China Everbright Environment Group 0257 HK$5.00 HK$8.96 +79%
Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology, Inc 603588 ¥14.10 ¥9.35 -34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Conch Environment Protection Holdings (0587) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1200 versus a price of HK$0.2700, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0587?
Our model-based fair value for China Conch Environment Protection Holdings is HK$0.1200 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2700.
What is the quality score of 0587?
China Conch Environment Protection Holdings has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings (0587)?
China Conch Environment Protection Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0587?
The net profit margin of China Conch Environment Protection Holdings is about -13.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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